MyTeam Mobile Discussion

[radan]

Re: MyTeam Mobile Discussion

I decided to stay in star until I get my reset I just have ****tiest luck with getting resets. I'm in star since lebron RC and didnt get star besides freebie. Also doubt I will get kobe,not enough time.

[eVizions]

Re: MyTeam Mobile Discussion

They don't need to do that, they can just have a fix % chance from start to finish, but they have a ceiling that says enough is enough.

If we say you have a 0,3% chance of getting a star card, that gives you about 300 boards to clear it.
If we do the math. On every board it 99,7% that you get something else then a star.
By board 230 it's down to about 50% of you getting a star , when at board 300 it's about 60%
At 400 it's 70%
Thats the mathematical probability




IGN:Glover20064
MVP:Pro star Dr J
Tier:Star

Right, but they've also said that there's a cap. We know it's not a hard cap, but there are definitely clusters around certain ranges (200 for Legendary++, 300 for Star), and yet there are also outliers (350 for Legendary++, 450 for Star) that suggest it's not exactly a tight range.

[SwollPuffin]

Re: MyTeam Mobile Discussion

I actually managed to beat roachboy in my season 😝

.....but he was only half way energized 😐




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[SwollPuffin]

Re: MyTeam Mobile Discussion

OMG FINALLY GOT MY EPIC JORDAN DUPE! Should I replace him with my leg pro Goodrich or my star drexler?

Oh wait.........................F**K




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[mister_k]

Re: MyTeam Mobile Discussion

OMG FINALLY GOT MY EPIC JORDAN DUPE! Should I replace him with my leg pro Goodrich or my star drexler?

Oh wait.........................F**K




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His only utility is to be used as an MVP lol...

[romar182]

Re: MyTeam Mobile Discussion

His only utility is to be used as an MVP lol...

He was also very good at training my Jerry West card.

[OhkamiL]

Re: MyTeam Mobile Discussion

Is anyone else creeped out by the Tom Sanders card? I mean that's the last card I would ever want to draw, I only have 4 legends and 2 epics, some UR Pros and a few SR pros, I am by no means stocked up on cards but I would still have no problem using Tom Sanders to train a legend

[yiy1156]

Re: MyTeam Mobile Discussion

Stockpiling hot streaks for the last day

[mastak]

Re: MyTeam Mobile Discussion

haha my first star season and him...

[Illmatic1909]

Re: MyTeam Mobile Discussion

They don't need to do that, they can just have a fix % chance from start to finish, but they have a ceiling that says enough is enough.

If we say you have a 0,3% chance of getting a star card, that gives you about 300 boards to clear it.
If we do the math. On every board it 99,7% that you get something else then a star.
By board 230 it's down to about 50% of you getting a star , when at board 300 it's about 60%
At 400 it's 70%
Thats the mathematical probability.

False, this gives the impression that it is independent probability when it is clearly dependent. Every board clear's probability goes up as you get closer to the reset. My theory is that your probability is always 1/(reset - boards cleared). Therefore your chance on the first pick is 1/reset, then 1/reset - 1, and eventually it approaches 1 as you approach the reset number.

This would be really easy to figure out if everyone posted their board reset #'s. Could just assemble a distribution of all the reset boards and determine everything we need to know.

[glover20064]

Re: MyTeam Mobile Discussion

Right, but they've also said that there's a cap. We know it's not a hard cap, but there are definitely clusters around certain ranges (200 for Legendary++, 300 for Star), and yet there are also outliers (350 for Legendary++, 450 for Star) that suggest it's not exactly a tight range.

I think it's a hard cap but no one here has reached it yet.
It's prob way past the mathematical probability , and we are to few here for that to have happened.

IGN:Glover20064
MVP:Pro star Dr J
Tier:Star

[yiy1156]

Re: MyTeam Mobile Discussion

False, this gives the impression that it is independent probability when it is clearly dependent. Every board clear's probability goes up as you get closer to the reset. My theory is that your probability is always 1/(reset - boards cleared). Therefore your chance on the first pick is 1/reset, then 1/reset - 1, and eventually it approaches 1 as you approach the reset number.

This would be really easy to figure out if everyone posted their board reset #'s. Could just assemble a distribution of all the reset boards and determine everything we need to know.

pretty sure NWGD said that the number of board clears dont change the drop rate until you hit the guaranteed reset number. I used to think of it this way too until he claimed it

[glover20064]

Re: MyTeam Mobile Discussion

Stockpiling hot streaks for the last day

Oh you can stockpile them , good to know. I wonder if they carry over between RCs aswell.

IGN:Glover20064
MVP:Pro star Dr J
Tier:Star

[yiy1156]

Re: MyTeam Mobile Discussion

Oh you can stockpile them , good to know. I wonder if they carry over between RCs aswell.

IGN:Glover20064
MVP:Pro star Dr J
Tier:Star

They dont carry over thats for sure

[glover20064]

Re: MyTeam Mobile Discussion

False, this gives the impression that it is independent probability when it is clearly dependent. Every board clear's probability goes up as you get closer to the reset. My theory is that your probability is always 1/(reset - boards cleared). Therefore your chance on the first pick is 1/reset, then 1/reset - 1, and eventually it approaches 1 as you approach the reset number.

This would be really easy to figure out if everyone posted their board reset #'s. Could just assemble a distribution of all the reset boards and determine everything we need to know.

You can't say it's false, both theories is possible and makes sense.

IGN:Glover20064
MVP:Pro star Dr J
Tier:Star