I think people are blaming the usual suspects for the predictability of the post season because lets face it, that's what this is really about. The most unpredictable thing that happened last year was that Derrick Rose got hurt, but in his place the old Celtics went to the ECF, so it wasn't like some kind of shocking Philadelphia 76ers conference finalist 8 seed. We've seen golden state knock off Dallas, we've seen upsets before. But it is fairly predictable almost every year. But it's not a matter of "small markets" the San Antonio Spurs and Oklahoma City Thunder blow that entire theory out of the water. Even Detroit's success in the mid part of last decade shows that to be untrue.
What it's really comes down to is the nature of the game. First of all, 7 game series throughout the playoffs in basketball particularly means that the best team (usually) wins. Hockey and Baseball are a little more haphazard by their nature, football is all about one game and upsets can be created using clever coaching (over even a 3 game series I don't think the Giants would have beaten the patriots either time, took a last second catch to win both times). Basketball has five guys on the court, but unlike hockey, scoring is assumed. So it's not necessarily about getting points, but about endurance, perseverance and getting top shots and defensive stops at the right times. As we've all seen with LeBron, one guy can take a team of chumps to the playoffs. There is no sport with more emphasis on the individual, I don't think, and the fact is that the teams that win championships (outside of Detroit, really) have two and often three of the best players in the league at their positions. Lakers had Shaq & Kobe back in the two star days, then they brought in Bynum, Gasol and Kobe. Celtics three was originally Garnett, Pierce, and Allen and then Rondo turned out to be spectacular (due in no small part to playing with that group of seasoned professionals). San Antonio has the best center of all time (yeah i said it) and two international guards that everybody slept on. OKC managed to draft Durant, Westbrook, Harden and I think Ibaka which is just ludicrous once in a lifetime draft brilliance. Thing is, Durant could stay there his whole career, he's not a glitz and glamor kinda guy, and as long as they have him - Westbrook could go to LA, Harden could go to NY - OKC will always be good. It only takes one guy, really.
It's just a matter of how teams are built and the levels of talent in the league. I think people get frustrated when the superstars like Howard or LeBron go from their small markets to bigger ones that have more appeal but that's just how things work. It's not a certainty that they will be successful (Knicks, Lakers the last few years). The only way to really edit the balance of the league would be to contract by probably four squads, that way more talent would be able to be distributed league wide, but they have 30 teams and a lot of them just get the short end of the talent stick in terms of on the court play and front office ability.
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