MMA Off-Topic

[Yaari]

Re: MMA Off-Topic

You guys watching? Wow.This is a good one

[WarMMA]

Re: MMA Off-Topic

You guys watching? Wow.This is a good one

Yup it's a pretty good card

[johnmangala]

Preview & Review: UFC FN 119

Good fights on the undercard so far. Interesting pair of DC and John Gooden on commentary, it's good.

The fights on the main card are particularly even. I would suggest hedging any picks.


Prelims:
Dos Santos gets dropped with a 1 2 but came back with knees almost finishing Griffin at the end of round 1. Griffin drops Dos Santos again with a left right. Dos Santos goes to the body R3.
Dos Santos > Griffin via Decision 29-28; FOTN contender

Diaz is overwhelmed in the grappling. Gordan applies post and delivers shots. Diaz goes for trip but gets grounded into guard. Diaz goes for an armbar to end the fight.
Gordan > Diaz via Decision 30-26
Gordan is the first foreigner to win on this card.

Carlos Júnior out aggressive establishing the jab, Marshman adjusting when Carlos Júnior lands a TD into Mount. Carlos Júnior obtains back and secures a rear naked choke in R1.
Carlos Júnior > Marshman via R1SUB- RNC

Luque drops Price with a body shot and follow up to the head then proceeds to secure a submission.
Luque > Price via R2SUB: D'arce choke.


Preview & Review: UFC FN 119- São Paulo, Brazil; Main Card:

Spoiler

=BW

Spoiler

John Lineker (5|29-8):[+3, -1, +1, -3, +1, -1, +13, -1, +4, -1, +6, -1=(-525|$1.2x|4/21)(84%)(27|5'3"|67")()()()()()()()()()()(){}] ||||||[ATT]||||||
v via Decision 29-28

Marlon Vera (0|10-3, 1):[+5, 0, -1, +1, -1, +1, -1, +3=(+450|$5.5x|9/2)(16%)(24|5'8"|70")()()()()()()()()()()(){}] ||||||[Jackson-Wink]||||||

:
::
:::
:::
::
:

~MW

Spoiler

Thiago Santos (15|15-5):[+7, -1, +1, -1, +1, -1, +4, -2, +2=(+105|$2.1x|21/20)(47%)(33|6'|76")()()()()()()()()()()(){}] ||||||[TATA FIGHT TEAM]||||||
x

Jack Hermansson (0|16-3):[+5, -2, +9, -1, +2=(-115|$1.9x|20/23)(53%)(29|6'1"|77.5")()()()()()()()()()()(){}] ||||||[Frontline Academy]||||||

:
::
:::
:::
::
:

=LW

Spoiler

Francisco Trinaldo (0|21-5):[+6, -1, +5, -1, +2, -1, +1, -1, +6, -1=(-210|$1.5x|10/21)(68%)(39|5'9"|70")()()()()()()()()()()(){}] ||||||[Evolução Thai]||||||
v via Decision 29-28

Jim Miller (0|28-10; 1):[+5, -1, +8, -1, +7, -1, +1, -1, +1; 0, +2, -2, +1, -2, +3, -2=(+190|$2.9x|19/10)(32%)(34|5'8"|71")()()()()()()()()()()(){}] ||||||[Miller Brothers MMA]||||||

:
::
:::
:::
::
:

=BW

Spoiler

Pedro Munhoz (12|14-2; 1):[+10, -1, +1; 0, -1, +3=(+150|$2.5x|3/2)(39%)(31|5'6"|65")()()()()()()()()()()(){}] ||||||[ATT]||||||
v R1SUB: Mounted guillotine

Rob Font (13|14-2):[+1, -1, +11, -1, +2=(-160|$1.6x|5/8)(61%)(30|5'8"|71.5")()()()()()()()()()()(){}] ||||||[Team Sityodtong]||||||

:
::
:::
:::
::
:

=WW

Spoiler

Demian Maia (3|25-7):[+11, -1, +1, -1, +2, -1, +1, -1, +3, -2, +7, -1=(+125|$2.3x|5/4)(43%)(39|6'1"|72")()()()()()()()()()()(){}] ||||||[Demian Maia BJJ]||||||
^ via Decision 30-27

Colby Covington (7|12-1):[+8, -1, +4=(-135|$1.6x|20/27)(57%)(29|5'11"|72")()()()()()()()()()()(){}] ||||||[ATT]||||||

: Maia back v Covington TD
:: Covington TD
::: Maia back
:::
::
:

=MW

Spoiler

Derek Brunson (7|17-5):[+9, -2, +2, -1, +5, -2, +1=(-155|$1.6x|20/31)(60%)(33|6'|77")()()()()()()()()()()(){}] ||||||[Renzo Gracie BJJ]||||||
v via R1KO: 2

Lyoto Machida (0|22-7):[+16, -2, +1, -1, +2, -1, +2, -1, +1, -2=(+145|$2.5x|29/20)(40%)(39|6'1"|74")()()()()()()()()()()(){}] ||||||[Black House]||||||

: Brunson charge v Machida circle
:: Brunson charge
::: Machida circle
:::
::
:


Perfect Combination: Lineker, Santos, Trinaldo, Munhoz, Covington, Brunson
Expected Earnings: $10.5x ($9.4x<=>$17.8x)
Actual Earnings: $10.5x ($9.4x<=>$17.8x)
Live Upsets: Machida, Maia, Munhoz, Santos
Analysis: Night of footwork
POTN:
FOTN:
***
================================
Weightclass
Underline: Underdog
Bold: Expected win
Italic: Fantasy win
=risky
~incl
-pass

A (Rank| Win-Loss, Draw; No Contest):[Streak=(Odds)(i(P))(Age|Height|Reach) (Risk/Habit) (Accuracy/Reflex) (Power/Speed) (Generalize/Specialize) (Experience/Opposition) (Plan/Fitness) (Skill/Adaption) (Control/Damage) (Simple/Complex) (Offense/Defense) {Estimate}] | Strategy | Technique | Aspect | Trouble | Submit | Stance | [Team] | Wrestling Defence:Offence | Muay Thai D:O | BJJ D:O | Kickboxing D:O | TMA D:O | Boxing D:O |
x
B (|):[=()()()()()()()()()()()()(){}] ||||||[]||||||

: Keys
:: Predictions
::: Hedges
::: Moment
:: Lowlights
: Highlights

[WarMMA]

Re: MMA Off-Topic

Nice workman like performance by Carlos Jr.

[Dave_S]

Re: MMA Off-Topic

[WarMMA]

Re: MMA Off-Topic

Wow dominant performance by Luque. Pretty much picked Price apart on just 11 days notice.

[Dave_S]

Re: MMA Off-Topic

I like Santos. That looked painful.

[Dave_S]

Re: MMA Off-Topic

Pretty surprised odds are on Colby to win.

[WarMMA]

Re: MMA Off-Topic

Pretty surprised odds are on Colby to win.

Yh me too. He can if he plays the game Woodley did and tries to keep it on the feet maybe. But if he tries to wrestle Maia or Maia gets him down and gets the back, its a wrap.

[WarMMA]

Re: MMA Off-Topic

Maia already taking the wrong approach and trying to strike and tired himself early. Colbys striking is pretty trash tbh...Maia should try to time a td attempt.

[Dave_S]

Re: MMA Off-Topic

Normally I think a lot of Maia's takedowns come in from the clinch against the fence.

[WarMMA]

Re: MMA Off-Topic

Normally I think a lot of Maia's takedowns come in from the clinch against the fence.

Yh but he just can't get it there and Colby's wrestling is just to good for him to get a td in the center of the octagon. I figured Colby would take this approach though...it's just smart and Maia is a one trick pony.

[johnmangala]

Re: MMA Off-Topic

Maia was striking more than I expected. Covington probably won that. He has a wrestling base and gave the fight people were expecting from Masvidal.

[WarMMA]

Re: MMA Off-Topic

Maia was striking more than I expected. Covington probably won that. He has a wrestling base and gave the fight people were expecting from Masvidal.

Yup. Pretty much what I expected if he won. Same thing Woodley did. Maia screwed himself early though by getting in a firefight in the 1st and gassing. I'll say this though...if Colby thinks he's about to be champ at WW with striking like that, I feel sorry for him when he faces guys that are good strikers with good td defense. Guys like Thompson, Lawler, Till, ect would eat him alive on the feet...hell even Maia was tagging him up until he gassed. He's trying to talk his way to a title shot, but I doubt UFC will be having that. He'll have to have a few more fights i'm sure.

[WarMMA]

Re: MMA Off-Topic

Dang Brunson with that powerful left!