8/3 - 8/16 Game Discussion Thread

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  • Speedy
    #Ace
    • Apr 2008
    • 16143

    #826
    Re: 8/3 - 8/16 Game Discussion Thread

    My beard is better than yours, Kimbrel.
    Originally posted by Gibson88
    Anyone who asked for an ETA is not being Master of their Domain.
    It's hard though...especially when I got my neighbor playing their franchise across the street...maybe I will occupy myself with Glamore Magazine.

    Comment

    • ThreeKing
      Banned
      • Aug 2007
      • 5852

      #827
      Re: 8/3 - 8/16 Game Discussion Thread

      Of course the Mets are losing games now. OF COURSE.

      Comment

      • Sportsforever
        NL MVP
        • Mar 2005
        • 20368

        #828
        Re: 8/3 - 8/16 Game Discussion Thread

        Originally posted by WaitTilNextYear
        He's not in the top 30, though. I think that was his whole point. In fact, Bryant's 3% off the pace for 30th.
        I get that, but he's basically right at the bottom of that list (I didn't want to look at what his ranking actually is). You guys act like I'm saying he's a bad player...I'm not. I'm just saying as a hitter he's much closer to Dave Kingman than he is to Bryce Harper. Kingman had a great career, so not a bad thing, especially if he's going to provide the all around game he has.
        "People ask me what I do in winter when there's no baseball. I'll tell you what I do. I stare out the window and wait for spring." - Rogers Hornsby

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        • Chip Douglass
          Hall Of Fame
          • Dec 2005
          • 12256

          #829
          Re: 8/3 - 8/16 Game Discussion Thread

          Elite power hitters have HR/FB rates pushing 20% or higher. HR/FB rate for hitters is not at all like HR/FB rate for pitchers; the former is much more predictive than the latter.

          If anything, it's something Bryant improves on as he fills out his power potential.
          I write things on the Internet.

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          • WaitTilNextYear
            Go Cubs Go
            • Mar 2013
            • 16830

            #830
            Re: 8/3 - 8/16 Game Discussion Thread

            Originally posted by Sportsforever
            I get that, but he's basically right at the bottom of that list (I didn't want to look at what his ranking actually is). You guys act like I'm saying he's a bad player...I'm not. I'm just saying as a hitter he's much closer to Dave Kingman than he is to Bryce Harper. Kingman had a great career, so not a bad thing, especially if he's going to provide the all around game he has.
            Well to some degree as a long-tenured Cubs fan, I am just happy that Bryant isn't turning out like Gary Scott or Kevin Orie.

            I think the Kingman thing is really unfair provided that Bryant's rookie season fWAR is higher than any season in Kingman's entire career. I mean I could pick it apart in more minute detail as to why I don't like the comp, but the fact that Bryant's better as a rookie than Kingman ever was is pretty convincing. Then you go into BABIP, OBP, defense and the comp falls apart even further.
            Chicago Cubs | Chicago Bulls | Green Bay Packers | Michigan Wolverines

            Comment

            • Sportsforever
              NL MVP
              • Mar 2005
              • 20368

              #831
              Re: 8/3 - 8/16 Game Discussion Thread

              Originally posted by Chip Douglass
              Elite power hitters have HR/FB rates pushing 20% or higher. HR/FB rate for hitters is not at all like HR/FB rate for pitchers; the former is much more predictive than the latter.

              If anything, it's something Bryant improves on as he fills out his power potential.
              This actually makes sense...and not something I had considered before (I have always looked at HR/FB in regards to league average). There is no doubt his power will develop.

              So question - are you guys satisfied with his performance at the plate?
              "People ask me what I do in winter when there's no baseball. I'll tell you what I do. I stare out the window and wait for spring." - Rogers Hornsby

              Comment

              • Sportsforever
                NL MVP
                • Mar 2005
                • 20368

                #832
                Re: 8/3 - 8/16 Game Discussion Thread

                Originally posted by WaitTilNextYear
                Well to some degree as a long-tenured Cubs fan, I am just happy that Bryant isn't turning out like Gary Scott or Kevin Orie.

                I think the Kingman thing is really unfair provided that Bryant's rookie season fWAR is higher than any season in Kingman's entire career. I mean I could pick it apart in more minute detail as to why I don't like the comp, but the fact that Bryant's better as a rookie than Kingman ever was is pretty convincing. Then you go into BABIP, OBP, defense and the comp falls apart even further.
                I don't know how I can state this: I am ONLY referring to his performance at the plate. Maybe a better comp is Mark Reynolds with a glove? The guy is on pace to strike out over 200 times this year...not too many hitters who do that turn into great hitters. That's all I'm trying to say.
                "People ask me what I do in winter when there's no baseball. I'll tell you what I do. I stare out the window and wait for spring." - Rogers Hornsby

                Comment

                • WaitTilNextYear
                  Go Cubs Go
                  • Mar 2013
                  • 16830

                  #833
                  Re: 8/3 - 8/16 Game Discussion Thread

                  Originally posted by Sportsforever
                  This actually makes sense...and not something I had considered before (I have always looked at HR/FB in regards to league average). There is no doubt his power will develop.

                  So question - are you guys satisfied with his performance at the plate?
                  I'd prefer him to be performing at mid-'20s Babe Ruth levels, but for the most part am happy. He's better defensively and on the bases than advertised and doesn't fit the lazy "1D slugger" comp he gets a lot.

                  Bryant got off to a fast start with his AVG and OBP and it took him a bit to hit his 1st HR. Then he got that monkey off his back, went on a little tear--to the point where NL ROY seemed as it was his to lose, made the ASG and HRD--only to go into a rookie slump around that same time. He seems to be breaking out of that with a recent long hitting streak and a 2-hit game today.

                  My biggest worry about Bryant is he seems like a guy who is outwardly calm, but inwardly very driven and likely to beat up on himself if he doesn't live up to his own expectations. You can see little glimpses of how hard he is on himself break through sometimes. One example was the HRD and how it took him a little while to get going.
                  Chicago Cubs | Chicago Bulls | Green Bay Packers | Michigan Wolverines

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                  • Speedy
                    #Ace
                    • Apr 2008
                    • 16143

                    #834
                    Re: 8/3 - 8/16 Game Discussion Thread

                    Originally posted by Sportsforever
                    This actually makes sense...and not something I had considered before (I have always looked at HR/FB in regards to league average). There is no doubt his power will develop.

                    So question - are you guys satisfied with his performance at the plate?
                    I get your point, SF.

                    He has a 50% IP% (percentage of all plate apperances where a ball is put in play...AB-K-HR+SF/all plate apperances). He is 4th "lowest" in the majors behind Chris Carter, Chris Davis and Joc. In addition, he has a 48% FB% which is 3rd in the majors behind Chris Cater and Brandon Moss.

                    Translation is that he's one of the MLB leaders in only being a 3-outcome player (walk, strikeout or HR). I'm more so eager to see how he adjusts because he certainly has a world of potential...Frenchy had an awesome 2005 campaign but wasn't able to make the adjustments and at best, has become a good role player with great defense.

                    MLB pitchers know how to exploit weaknesses...my gripe on the high K-totals is that putting the ball in play at least mitigates that to an extent; if the hitter is more/less a 3-outcome hitter, the likelihood of sustained success is much smaller.
                    Last edited by Speedy; 08-15-2015, 10:47 PM.
                    Originally posted by Gibson88
                    Anyone who asked for an ETA is not being Master of their Domain.
                    It's hard though...especially when I got my neighbor playing their franchise across the street...maybe I will occupy myself with Glamore Magazine.

                    Comment

                    • Chip Douglass
                      Hall Of Fame
                      • Dec 2005
                      • 12256

                      #835
                      Re: 8/3 - 8/16 Game Discussion Thread

                      Originally posted by Sportsforever
                      Both Kingman and Bryant sport 3/1 K/BB ratios. Walks are down and K's are up compared to that era, but a ratio is still a ratio.
                      I'm sorry to say this, but your numbers are way off too. Bryant's K:BB ratio is closer to 2:1 than Kingman's 3:1. Bryant draws a lot of walks and figures to be a high OBP guy even if he never solves his contact issues. Kingman was a one-trick pony.

                      Again, it's not really fair to pick out two variables in a guy's hitting profile and make low-floor comparisons. I'd say Bryant's floor is closer to Chris Davis than any of the guys you're comparing him to.
                      I write things on the Internet.

                      Comment

                      • Chip Douglass
                        Hall Of Fame
                        • Dec 2005
                        • 12256

                        #836
                        Re: 8/3 - 8/16 Game Discussion Thread

                        Originally posted by Sportsforever
                        So question - are you guys satisfied with his performance at the plate?
                        A 127 wRC+ as a rookie?

                        Yes, I'm definitely satisfied.
                        I write things on the Internet.

                        Comment

                        • D13
                          Pro
                          • Jun 2013
                          • 611

                          #837
                          Re: 8/3 - 8/16 Game Discussion Thread

                          Originally posted by WaitTilNextYear
                          haha, over/under on how many more Jays losses cause their fans to declare the sky is falling? I put it at 2.5 more. It's funny to watch, on the heels of an 11 game winning streak no less, and suddenly after 2 close games "they can't hit with RISP," or "Tanaka's getting all the calls," or "there's some odd conspiracy about stealing signs." Relax, it's gonna be a long month and a half. No use getting emotionally fried in August.

                          I'm glad someone said it.... [emoji23][emoji23]


                          Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
                          Go Cubs Go [ W ]

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                          • Blzer
                            Resident film pundit
                            • Mar 2004
                            • 42520

                            #838
                            Re: 8/3 - 8/16 Game Discussion Thread

                            In the scorebook, ya'll are going to see that the Nationals performed a 3-4-1 putout against the Giants.

                            Please watch the highlight of this play, though.
                            Samsung PN60F8500 PDP / Anthem MRX 720 / Klipsch RC-62 II / Klipsch RF-82 II (x2) / Insignia NS-B2111 (x2) / SVS PC13-Ultra / SVS SB-2000 / Sony MDR-7506 Professional / Audio-Technica ATH-R70x / Sony PS3 & PS4 / DirecTV HR44-500 / DarbeeVision DVP-5000 / Panamax M5400-PM / Elgato HD60

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                            • D13
                              Pro
                              • Jun 2013
                              • 611

                              #839
                              Re: 8/3 - 8/16 Game Discussion Thread

                              I almost threw up my dinner when I read the comp for Bryant to Dave Kingman.

                              Get a clue my man.


                              BEYOND satisfied with him at the plate.


                              Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
                              Go Cubs Go [ W ]

                              Comment

                              • Sportsforever
                                NL MVP
                                • Mar 2005
                                • 20368

                                #840
                                Re: 8/3 - 8/16 Game Discussion Thread

                                Originally posted by Chip Douglass
                                A 127 wRC+ as a rookie?

                                Yes, I'm definitely satisfied.
                                Originally posted by D13
                                I almost threw up my dinner when I read the comp for Bryant to Dave Kingman.

                                Get a clue my man.


                                BEYOND satisfied with him at the plate.


                                Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
                                Come on now...don't get so riled up. Kingman posted a career wRC+ of 113 and that is after some really down years at the end of his career. The comp isn't as far off as a hitter as your making it out to be.
                                "People ask me what I do in winter when there's no baseball. I'll tell you what I do. I stare out the window and wait for spring." - Rogers Hornsby

                                Comment

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