Re: 2/9 - 2/22 Games Discussion Thread
Embiid could easily win, especially if they finish first in the conference. But Bron and Joker aren’t in the mix solely because narratives.
Joker and Bron are ahead of him in a lot of all in one metrics currently. Backpicks BPM, 538s new RAPTOR rating, ahead in real plus minus, RPM wins, win shares, VORP..
Plus Bron has stuff like this that won’t show in any statistical metrics. Although these are a couple weeks old at this point. And games like the one the other night where he hit the 3 to send it to over time, the assists on the go ahead bucket, and a steal to win the game, those are the type of moments voters will remember when voting is close at year end. Shows up nowhere in a stat, but it’s plays that win games and naturally guys like Bron, KD, Kawhi, etc just rack up more of those than big men typically do.
I still think from day 1 - now Joker has had the best resume for MVP. I don’t know that their record will be good enough for him to get it, and he’s always going to lose a few votes from those who view him as a negative on defense.
Realistically throw in Giannis, KD, maybe even Harden if he keeps his play up and you’ve got quite a few guys right in the mix this year IMO. Joel has a really good shot, probably not if the Bucks end up passing them though because Giannis’s numbers are starting to normalize closer to where they were last year. Bron likely makes or breaks his case with how well he and the team do with AD out. If AD misses a month of action and the Lakers don’t fall out of that top 3 in the West positioning and Bron’s numbers go up in that same time span, he’s going to have a pretty good argument at that point himself.
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Embiid could easily win, especially if they finish first in the conference. But Bron and Joker aren’t in the mix solely because narratives.
Joker and Bron are ahead of him in a lot of all in one metrics currently. Backpicks BPM, 538s new RAPTOR rating, ahead in real plus minus, RPM wins, win shares, VORP..
Plus Bron has stuff like this that won’t show in any statistical metrics. Although these are a couple weeks old at this point. And games like the one the other night where he hit the 3 to send it to over time, the assists on the go ahead bucket, and a steal to win the game, those are the type of moments voters will remember when voting is close at year end. Shows up nowhere in a stat, but it’s plays that win games and naturally guys like Bron, KD, Kawhi, etc just rack up more of those than big men typically do.
I still think from day 1 - now Joker has had the best resume for MVP. I don’t know that their record will be good enough for him to get it, and he’s always going to lose a few votes from those who view him as a negative on defense.
Realistically throw in Giannis, KD, maybe even Harden if he keeps his play up and you’ve got quite a few guys right in the mix this year IMO. Joel has a really good shot, probably not if the Bucks end up passing them though because Giannis’s numbers are starting to normalize closer to where they were last year. Bron likely makes or breaks his case with how well he and the team do with AD out. If AD misses a month of action and the Lakers don’t fall out of that top 3 in the West positioning and Bron’s numbers go up in that same time span, he’s going to have a pretty good argument at that point himself.
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