Hurricane Matthew

[LambertandHam]

Instead of clogging up the weather thread, thought I'd make a thread for other OS members that might be in its path.



Storm is rapidly intensifying, could be a very dangerous Cat 4 by the time it reaches Haiti and Cuba.

[timay]

Re: Hurricane Matthew

Could pose a big threat to New England in about 8-10, all depends on timing and capture by a trough moving in from the west.

May be a significant landfall anywhere from the Canadian Maritimes to the Mid Atlantic, or if it isn't captured by the trough, will curve out to sea once it's north of the Caribbean, right about the latitude of North Carolina.

[LambertandHam]

Re: Hurricane Matthew

Going to be a Cat 4 at the 5pm update. Getting worried with the shifts to the west taking it closer to Florida.

[19]

Re: Hurricane Matthew

[LambertandHam]

Re: Hurricane Matthew

160mph Cat 5. It's a monster.

[Aggies7]

Re: Hurricane Matthew

Yup updated by NWS as a Cat 5. Will probably lose steam over Jamaica and Cuba, but will still be a monster if it hits Florida.

[mike24forever]

Re: Hurricane Matthew

That is a horrible track and there is a lot of warm water for it to pick up energy. Hopefully it swings away from Florida and into the ocean. I hope everyone in its path are safe.

[RockinDaMike]

Re: Hurricane Matthew

Stay safe out there!

[TheMatrix31]

Re: Hurricane Matthew

Stay safe, dudes. Seems so long since a major hurricane threatened or made landfall on the mainland I almost forgot it happens.

[dickey1331]

Re: Hurricane Matthew

Stay safe, dudes. Seems so long since a major hurricane threatened or made landfall on the mainland I almost forgot it happens.

It seems we are moving into the not as often but bigger storms cycle from the 80s/90s I think.


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[Marino]

Re: Hurricane Matthew

Odds are that it will still recurve though it may come close to the Outer Banks of NC. Just depends on the cold front in the US and what the ridge does over the Atlantic.

Nothing to fully worry about right now, but a good time to have your hurricane plans ready just in case.

[LambertandHam]

Re: Hurricane Matthew

Not liking how some of recent models are trending west and trying to bring this as a cat 4 right into Florida. Still a few days out, hope it trends east.

[timay]

Re: Hurricane Matthew

Odds are that it will still recurve though it may come close to the Outer Banks of NC. Just depends on the cold front in the US and what the ridge does over the Atlantic.

Nothing to fully worry about right now, but a good time to have your hurricane plans ready just in case.

Latest modeling shows a landfall in NC around Wilmington, riding NC coast for a bit, moving north and east back into the Atlantic then interacting with a very important trough, on the GFS, Matthew fully interacts with the trough and tracks over Cape Cod then another landfall in Central Maine.

With the interacting of the trough, a heavy rain event is set off in the northeast with brutal backside winds as hurricane makes its landfall.

Modeling has trended that way today, as they have taken in more data and sampled the PAC NW trough.

Going to be interesting, as I live in south central coastal CT.

[Marino]

Re: Hurricane Matthew

Latest modeling shows a landfall in NC around Wilmington, riding NC coast for a bit, moving north and east back into the Atlantic then interacting with a very important trough, on the GFS, Matthew fully interacts with the trough and tracks over Cape Cod then another landfall in Central Maine.



With the interacting of the trough, a heavy rain event is set off in the northeast with brutal backside winds as hurricane makes its landfall.



Modeling has trended that way today, as they have taken in more data and sampled the PAC NW trough.



Going to be interesting, as I live in south central coastal CT.

Yeah getting very interesting. Though I remember Joaquin last year, so no point in getting to worried yet but by Wednesday, if models are the way they are, the southeast will need to pay attention. And up through the mid-Atlantic and New England.


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[timay]

Re: Hurricane Matthew

Yeah getting very interesting. Though I remember Joaquin last year, so no point in getting to worried yet but by Wednesday, if models are the way they are, the southeast will need to pay attention. And up through the mid-Atlantic and New England.


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Good luck to you guys down there. The NAVY's model, or NAVGEM actually has the storm making landfall in Florida and crossing to the west coast of Florida. Would take that with a grain of salt as NAVGEM is not a very good model and often plays into its own biases.

Will be telling if the Euro comes on board with what I've seen so far today, if it does, everyone from Florida to Maine should be on high alert.

My thoughts are basically the storm skirting the Carolinas, moving off the Mid Atl coast then some sort of trough interaction (like a strengthening Nor'easter) with prolific rain, moderate wind, and severe coastal flooding in New England. The ridge in the northeast is building to the point where I don't think this storm escapes out to sea.