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  • ggsimmonds
    Hall Of Fame
    • Jan 2009
    • 11235

    #1516
    re: Off-Topic

    Let me make sure I'm getting the door problem right.

    You got doors 1,2, and 3.

    You pick door 1.

    The host reveals door 2 to be a goat.

    He then asks you if you want to switch to door 3?

    Is that right? If so I don't understand the confusion.

    Comment

    • Blzer
      Resident film pundit
      • Mar 2004
      • 42515

      #1517
      re: Off-Topic

      Originally posted by ggsimmonds
      Let me make sure I'm getting the door problem right.

      You got doors 1,2, and 3.

      You pick door 1.

      The host reveals door 2 to be a goat.

      He then asks you if you want to switch to door 3?

      Is that right? If so I don't understand the confusion.
      That is correct.
      Samsung PN60F8500 PDP / Anthem MRX 720 / Klipsch RC-62 II / Klipsch RF-82 II (x2) / Insignia NS-B2111 (x2) / SVS PC13-Ultra / SVS SB-2000 / Sony MDR-7506 Professional / Audio-Technica ATH-R70x / Sony PS3 & PS4 / DirecTV HR44-500 / DarbeeVision DVP-5000 / Panamax M5400-PM / Elgato HD60

      Comment

      • ggsimmonds
        Hall Of Fame
        • Jan 2009
        • 11235

        #1518
        re: Off-Topic

        Seems straightforward to me. Its akin to a lifeline on Who Wants to be a Millionaire. The host in essence is removing one of the incorrect answers for you.

        This does kind of remind me of a date I had couple weeks back. She said her friend introduces her as being very honest. I told her that next time she should reply that her friend is lying. Told her it would be funny to mess with people's heads. She could not grasp the paradox behind that. Of course my explanation probably only made it worse. Guess I needed Speedy's work friend to make a infographic lol

        Comment

        • Caulfield
          Hall Of Fame
          • Apr 2011
          • 10986

          #1519
          re: Off-Topic

          I wanna know why so many people have such disdain for goats. You know how much money you can save in lawn care & garbage disposal with a goat? And I bet anything Monty Hall never let any contestant keep a goat. The only real problem I can see with goats is they might think they so bad as LL Cool J. Props if you get the reference.
          Last edited by Caulfield; 07-31-2018, 07:14 PM.
          OSFM23 - Building Better Baseball - OSFM23

          A Work in Progress

          Comment

          • Speedy
            #Ace
            • Apr 2008
            • 16143

            #1520
            re: Off-Topic

            Originally posted by ggsimmonds
            Let me make sure I'm getting the door problem right.

            You got doors 1,2, and 3.

            You pick door 1.

            The host reveals door 2 to be a goat.

            He then asks you if you want to switch to door 3?

            Is that right? If so I don't understand the confusion.
            The confusion lies in the statistical probability of winning as staying with door 1 (1/3 chance of winning) gives a lower likelihood of winning versus switching to door 3 (2/3 chance of winning). That's what I find difficult to grasp as it feels like it should be 50%.
            Originally posted by Gibson88
            Anyone who asked for an ETA is not being Master of their Domain.
            It's hard though...especially when I got my neighbor playing their franchise across the street...maybe I will occupy myself with Glamore Magazine.

            Comment

            • pietasterp
              All Star
              • Feb 2004
              • 6244

              #1521
              re: Off-Topic

              Originally posted by Blzer
              I have another one that some of the greater minds (like Einstein) had trouble solving the first time. It's not probability, just math (and some logic).

              Say you're riding a bike on a two-mile path, the first mile being uphill and the second mile downhill. At best, you are only able to ride the first mile uphill at an average speed of 15 MPH. How fast would you have to bike on the downhill mile to achieve an overall average speed of 30 MPH for that two-mile path?
              I just wasted half my day thinking about this...

              Spoiler

              Comment

              • Caulfield
                Hall Of Fame
                • Apr 2011
                • 10986

                #1522
                re: Off-Topic

                Originally posted by Blzer
                I have another one that some of the greater minds (like Einstein) had trouble solving the first time. It's not probability, just math (and some logic).

                Say you're riding a bike on a two-mile path, the first mile being uphill and the second mile downhill. At best, you are only able to ride the first mile uphill at an average speed of 15 MPH. How fast would you have to bike on the downhill mile to achieve an overall average speed of 30 MPH for that two-mile path?
                if the obvious answer is wrong, then I want to know why its wrong.
                Spoiler



                Edit - sorry, probably should have used spoilers from the outset
                Last edited by Caulfield; 07-31-2018, 07:51 PM.
                OSFM23 - Building Better Baseball - OSFM23

                A Work in Progress

                Comment

                • pietasterp
                  All Star
                  • Feb 2004
                  • 6244

                  #1523
                  re: Off-Topic

                  Originally posted by Caulfield
                  if the obvious answer is wrong, then I want to know why its wrong.
                  Spoiler



                  Edit - sorry, probably should have used spoilers from the outset
                  So this is the natural tendency, I think (that was my first instinct as well), but it doesn't apply in this case because you don't spend the same amount of time going at each speed. The way I was thinking about it (which may not be correct), figure out how long it takes to go the first mile at 15MPH. Now figure out how long you have to cover the 2 miles in order to average 30 MPH.

                  D'oh!

                  Comment

                  • NolanRyansSnowmonkey
                    MVP
                    • Jun 2016
                    • 1354

                    #1524
                    re: Off-Topic

                    Originally posted by Blzer
                    I have another one that some of the greater minds (like Einstein) had trouble solving the first time. It's not probability, just math (and some logic).

                    Say you're riding a bike on a two-mile path, the first mile being uphill and the second mile downhill. At best, you are only able to ride the first mile uphill at an average speed of 15 MPH. How fast would you have to bike on the downhill mile to achieve an overall average speed of 30 MPH for that two-mile path?
                    Spoiler

                    Comment

                    • NolanRyansSnowmonkey
                      MVP
                      • Jun 2016
                      • 1354

                      #1525
                      re: Off-Topic

                      Originally posted by pietasterp
                      So this is the natural tendency, I think (that was my first instinct as well), but it doesn't apply in this case because you don't spend the same amount of time going at each speed. The way I was thinking about it (which may not be correct), figure out how long it takes to go the first mile at 15MPH. Now figure out how long you have to cover the 2 miles in order to average 30 MPH.

                      D'oh!
                      Thats kinda what i was doing.... lol

                      Comment

                      • kehlis
                        Moderator
                        • Jul 2008
                        • 27738

                        #1526
                        re: Off-Topic

                        Originally posted by pietasterp
                        So this is the natural tendency, I think (that was my first instinct as well), but it doesn't apply in this case because you don't spend the same amount of time going at each speed. The way I was thinking about it (which may not be correct), figure out how long it takes to go the first mile at 15MPH. Now figure out how long you have to cover the 2 miles in order to average 30 MPH.

                        D'oh!
                        Yea but I feel like we are missing info in the original question.

                        15 for one mile plus 45 for the second mile averages 30 for two hours so without knowing any variables, that would have to be the right answer in it's simplest form.

                        If this gets into looking up calculations for inertia and **** I'm out.

                        Comment

                        • NolanRyansSnowmonkey
                          MVP
                          • Jun 2016
                          • 1354

                          #1527
                          re: Off-Topic

                          Originally posted by kehlis
                          Yea but I feel like we are missing info in the original question.

                          15 for one mile plus 45 for the second mile averages 30 for two hours so without knowing any variables, that would have to be the right answer in it's simplest form.

                          If this gets into looking up calculations for inertia and **** I'm out.
                          45 was my first thought too. Then i thought no. Einstein wouldnt have trouble with that lol.

                          Comment

                          • Caulfield
                            Hall Of Fame
                            • Apr 2011
                            • 10986

                            #1528
                            re: Off-Topic

                            Originally posted by pietasterp
                            The way I was thinking about it (which may not be correct), figure out how long it takes to go the first mile at 15MPH. Now figure out how long you have to cover the 2 miles in order to average 30 MPH.

                            D'oh!
                            why do you need to know that?




                            is it possible to go 15 mph over a one mile distance? yes.




                            is it possible to go 45 mph over a one mile distance? yes.




                            so the average is 30 mph
                            Last edited by Caulfield; 07-31-2018, 08:25 PM.
                            OSFM23 - Building Better Baseball - OSFM23

                            A Work in Progress

                            Comment

                            • countryboy
                              Growing pains
                              • Sep 2003
                              • 52712

                              #1529
                              re: Off-Topic

                              My Dad suffered a heart attack yesterday morning and is once again back in the hospital. He is in pretty good spirits as they work to get him stabilized again. His heart is extremely weak and damaged from past incidents that there is nothing they can do for his heart other than treat with medicine to prolong life.

                              He currently has fluid around his heart that they are using dialysis to remove. Once they get that off he should be able to come home. He spent Father's Day in the PCU at the hospital and will now most likely spend his 65th birthday in there, which is Thursday.

                              Sorry for the Debbie Downer post...just needed to put something to paper.
                              I can't shave with my eyes closed, meaning each day I have to look at myself in the mirror and respect who I see.

                              I miss the old days of Operation Sports :(


                              Louisville Cardinals/St.Louis Cardinals

                              Comment

                              • NolanRyansSnowmonkey
                                MVP
                                • Jun 2016
                                • 1354

                                #1530
                                re: Off-Topic

                                Originally posted by Caulfield
                                why do you need to know that?




                                is it possible to go 15 mph over a one mile distance? yes.




                                is it possible to go 45 mph over a one mile distance? yes.




                                so the average is 30 mph
                                Seems like 45mph for the second mile would average out to 22.5 mph for the entire 2 mile stretch...

                                Comment

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