Don't Look Now, but Milwaukee Bucks' Rookie Nate Wolters Belongs
If you're one of those who watches college basketball intently, does their own scouting and tries to predict who'll sink or swim, then you've probably had some internal debate over Nate Wolters' NBA outlook.
He's been a one-man show over the past few years. Wolters averaged at least 19.5 points and 5.8 assists in three consecutive seasons at South Dakota State. But there were obvious concerns over his possible transition.
For starters, Wolters' inflated stat lines came against mediocre Summit League competition. He had a great chance to make a statement in the NCAA tournament but finished just 3-of-14 against Michigan in what was his worst individual showing of the year.
However, it was Wolters' physical limitations that likely caused him to slip to the second round of the draft.
He's got excellent size at nearly 6'5'', but Wolters clearly isn't the same caliber athlete as the majority of NBA point guards today. He's also one of those rare prospects with a shorter wingspan (6'3.75'') than height.
Wolters lacks that breakdown quickness and open-floor explosiveness you see from the average NBA ball-handler. To think he'd struggle separating on offense or holding up defensively wasn't an unreasonable thought at the time.
And now go figure—we're just over a week into the season and Nate Wolters is second amongst rookies in minutes played. Credit that to Brandon Knight and Luke Ridnour going down with injuries, but Wolters has undoubtedly held his own out there.
Just look at the 6-1 assist-to-turnover ratio. He's dished out 24 dimes and coughed it up four times through four games.
Wolters handled the rock at South Dakota State but was in more of a shoot-first role given the lack of talent around him. Now in Milwaukee, he's had to shift his focus to strictly facilitating and orchestrating the offense.
But nobody expected this part of the transition to be a problem. Wolters has terrific offensive instincts, exceptional vision and the willingness to give it up. And for the most part, those attributes are going to help offset some of his issues in the speed and strength department.
Facilitating
Wolters should have a long career as a serviceable backup point guard thanks to his ability to facilitate an offense. He's already shown a solid understanding of when to create versus making the simple pass.
Like a quarterback who lacks the arm strength to make the big play, Wolters is in a position where his job is to manage the game—not necessarily win it.
Outlook Moving Forward
Wolters doesn't offer much upside, but there's no doubt he can follow the same path Luke Ridnour carved out for himself—a guard with similar strengths and limitations.
Wolters is a guy who can execute an offensive game plan by protecting the ball and getting it where it needs to go. And when the opportunity presents itself, he has the offensive talent to put some points on the board.
Defense is likely to be a challenge throughout his career, but as a backup, it shouldn't make or break him.
He has the mind and skill set to provide a bench with a reliable blend of quarterbacking, playmaking and scoring. Wolters' playing time will take a hit once Knight and Ridnour return, but it certainly appears the Bucks were able to secure an asset in the second round of the draft.