Take the O's plan and don't try to shake the clubhouse up too much. Slightly below average rotation? Check. Studs that can hit the ball out of the park? Check. What are you missing? Bullpen.
Play to the break trying your best to stay around .500 (weakest division in the AL, you can do it!) and take your little pieces and turn them into a really good bullpen piece (or 2 if you can swing it, does not have to be a lock down closer). Pap is on the FA market at around a 74 overall, squeeze a year out of him and you're right there at the end of the season. Anything can happen in the playoffs.

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