Fangraphs shows most balls going up the middle or pull side. If it's true hitters go with the pitch then there must be a lot of inside pitching.
Looking at the 2017 heat map for pitches to RHB, it trends down and away...and most balls are pulled or up the middle, not oppo (40% Pull, 35% Mid, 25% Oppo).
Flipping the view to as L (meaning as a LHB), the same trend holds - mid to away.
The K/whiff rates now also makes me wonder how much recognizing and adjusting is going on.
Not necessarily. Yes, it's difficult (hence why that's the counter play to a pull hitter), but not impossible.
In The Show, this is especially true if you have good timing. You're still on the ball, the pull influence will "pull" the direction towards the hitter's pull side. Also, if the ratings are strong enough, the hitter can get solid contact. Again, less likely, even in The Show, but not out of the question though your timing probably shouldn't be any earlier than Just Early.
But, of course, that's why working away and down is the counter play to a pull hitter and I don't think they "adjust their influence" IRL...given the K rates and the hit direction rates. After all, if a hitter's muscle memory is to just open up on a ball...best he can do is keep his hands back, which would be the equal to you aiming for Just Late timing with pull influence...which can be effective in The Show.
If I don't have two strikes, I'd just take the pitch. If I have two strikes, I'd likely try to fight it off unless I can recognize it's a ball. Heck, with two strikes and it's a DP situation, I might take it and hope I get the call unless it's a very obvious strike (1st and 2nd, especially...1st and 3rd, I'd probably try to hit a chopper or some slow roller that might not be two and get the man in from 3rd...in which case the pitcher might have just done me a favor).
JMO.
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