5/11-5/17 MLB Discussion

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  • bkrich83
    Has Been
    • Jul 2002
    • 71582

    #166
    Re: 5/11-5/17 MLB Discussion

    Originally posted by NYJets
    Maybe.

    Or maybe he had 2 bad starts, and because its early in the year those 2 starts killed his stats. He's had 2 complete games, including a complete game shutout. He's had a 7.2 shutout inning start. He had another start he went 8 innings giving up 2 runs. Seems like he's still able to pitch effectively deep into games.

    He had a much worse April last year and he turned out ok.
    You very well may be right. I guess we'll see.

    but he's had more than 2 bad starts total. The Angels lit him up in the beginning or May.

    In his last 4 starts, he's had 2 quality starts and 2 non-quality starts. Actually statistically, in his last 6 starts I think only two are QS's.
    Tracking my NCAA Coach Career

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    • NYJets
      Hall Of Fame
      • Jul 2002
      • 18637

      #167
      Re: 5/11-5/17 MLB Discussion

      3 starts, 2.28 era, whip under 1 in May isn't brilliant?
      Originally posted by Jay Bilas
      The question isn't whether UConn belongs with the elites, but over the last 20 years, whether the rest of the college basketball elite belongs with UConn

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      • bkrich83
        Has Been
        • Jul 2002
        • 71582

        #168
        Re: 5/11-5/17 MLB Discussion

        Originally posted by NYJets
        3 starts, 2.28 era, whip under 1 in May isn't brilliant?
        The Shutout vs. Baltimore was. He pitched well vs. Toronto. Anaheim shelled him.

        As I said, in his last 6 starts 2 were quality starts.

        Would you say he's lived up to the billing so far? Do you really consider him an elite starting pitcher?
        Tracking my NCAA Coach Career

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        • NYJets
          Hall Of Fame
          • Jul 2002
          • 18637

          #169
          Re: 5/11-5/17 MLB Discussion

          What's the rule for quality start anyway? I know its 6 innings 3 runs, I assume 8 innings 4 runs is as well so that would be 3 quality starts.

          He's been good. I expect him to be a little bit better as the season goes on, and there's no indications that he won't be. His track record says he will be. He's shown he still has the same stuff, he's still been able to eat up innings, he's been dominant at times. He hasn't shown any signs of losing it
          Originally posted by Jay Bilas
          The question isn't whether UConn belongs with the elites, but over the last 20 years, whether the rest of the college basketball elite belongs with UConn

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          • bkrich83
            Has Been
            • Jul 2002
            • 71582

            #170
            Re: 5/11-5/17 MLB Discussion

            Originally posted by NYJets
            What's the rule for quality start anyway? I know its 6 innings 3 runs, I assume 8 innings 4 runs is as well so that would be 3 quality starts.

            He's been good. I expect him to be a little bit better as the season goes on, and there's no indications that he won't be. His track record says he will be. He's shown he still has the same stuff, he's still been able to eat up innings, he's been dominant at times. He hasn't shown any signs of losing it
            "a quality start is awarded to a starting pitcher who completes at least six innings and permits no more than three earned runs."

            So he has 2.

            See for me, his dropping strikeouts and increasing walks, are a danger sign. Maybe it's just me. But power pitchers should average more than 5K/9 IP. He's been around 9 the last 3 or 4 years.

            And his walks are rising as well. He's got a SO/BB ratio of 1.85 right now. Last year it was around 5.
            Last edited by bkrich83; 05-16-2009, 11:58 PM.
            Tracking my NCAA Coach Career

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            • NYJets
              Hall Of Fame
              • Jul 2002
              • 18637

              #171
              Re: 5/11-5/17 MLB Discussion

              Well than quality start makes no sense as a stat imo. 8 innings and 4 runs is the same era as 6 innings and 3 runs, and it ate up more innings and saved your bullpen.

              As for the rest, we'll see. Over his last 4 his peripherals have been getting better. If the season is half over and his walks are still up and strikeouts still down, then I'll start to worry about it.
              Originally posted by Jay Bilas
              The question isn't whether UConn belongs with the elites, but over the last 20 years, whether the rest of the college basketball elite belongs with UConn

              Comment

              • bkrich83
                Has Been
                • Jul 2002
                • 71582

                #172
                Re: 5/11-5/17 MLB Discussion

                Originally posted by NYJets
                Well than quality start makes no sense as a stat imo. 8 innings and 4 runs is the same era as 6 innings and 3 runs, and it ate up more innings and saved your bullpen.

                As for the rest, we'll see. Over his last 4 his peripherals have been getting better. If the season is half over and his walks are still up and strikeouts still down, then I'll start to worry about it.
                I don't think giving up 4 runs in 8 innings is a QS. Do you? But that's besides the point. He's been pretty average this year, it's been more than just 2 bad starts, and there are some indicators that hist stuff has not been as sharp.

                Which was my original point. Yes it's early, but he's a big guy with weight issues who's thrown a ton of innings the last couple of years. A decline is not as out of the question as Yankee fan would lead you to believe imo.
                Tracking my NCAA Coach Career

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                • Sandman42
                  Hall Of Fame
                  • Aug 2004
                  • 15186

                  #173
                  Re: 5/11-5/17 MLB Discussion

                  Originally posted by bkrich83
                  I don't think giving up 4 runs in 8 innings is a QS. Do you? But that's besides the point. He's been pretty average this year, it's been more than just 2 bad starts, and there are some indicators that hist stuff has not been as sharp.
                  3 runs in 6 innings = 4.50 ERA
                  4 runs in 8 innings = 4.50 ERA

                  If 3 runs in 6 is a QS, then 4 runs in 8 should also be one IMO.
                  Member of The OS Baseball Rocket Scientists Association

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                  • snepp
                    We'll waste him too.
                    • Apr 2003
                    • 10007

                    #174
                    Re: 5/11-5/17 MLB Discussion

                    The "quality start" statistic is largely junk, right up there with saves and fielding percentage.
                    Member of The OS Baseball Rocket Scientists Association

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                    • bkrich83
                      Has Been
                      • Jul 2002
                      • 71582

                      #175
                      Re: 5/11-5/17 MLB Discussion

                      Originally posted by Sandman42
                      3 runs in 6 innings = 4.50 ERA
                      4 runs in 8 innings = 4.50 ERA

                      If 3 runs in 6 is a QS, then 4 runs in 8 should also be one IMO.
                      So you consider his 4 ER in 8 innings of work a good start? He's thus far produced what you would have expected?

                      I agree with Snepp, it's a dumb stat, but when you are paying what they are paying Sabathia, you'd expect better outings more consistently. His mediocre numbers are more than the result of just two poor starts.
                      Tracking my NCAA Coach Career

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                      • Misfit
                        All Star
                        • Mar 2003
                        • 5766

                        #176
                        Re: 5/11-5/17 MLB Discussion

                        Originally posted by Sandman42
                        3 runs in 6 innings = 4.50 ERA
                        4 runs in 8 innings = 4.50 ERA

                        If 3 runs in 6 is a QS, then 4 runs in 8 should also be one IMO.
                        I disagree, the ERA is the same, but 4 runs is not the same as 3. An offense should be expected to cover for 3 runs, but anything over 3 is dicey. It is a stupid stat though.

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                        • Lintyfresh85
                          Where have I been?
                          • Jul 2002
                          • 17492

                          #177
                          Re: 5/11-5/17 MLB Discussion

                          Rookie David Huff is on the hill for the Indians making his major league debut.

                          Only problem is the Rays have two guys on their lineup at 3B (Longoria was supposed to be a DH). So they have to forfeit their DH while their pitcher is batting. Umps just called the Tribe off the field and are calling MLB to see what to do.

                          What a story this guy will have for his first start... if the Umps let him make it.
                          http://flotn.blogspot.com

                          Member of the Official OS Bills Backers Club

                          Originally posted by trobinson97
                          Hell, I shot my grandmother, cuz she was old.

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                          • DTX3
                            Hall Of Fame
                            • Jun 2003
                            • 13022

                            #178
                            Re: 5/11-5/17 MLB Discussion

                            Yeah, Dodgers will struggle with Beast Mode in their lineup.

                            I gotta give it to him, even I didn't think Pierre would step up like this.
                            XBL: DTX3
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                            WII U: DodgerBlue760

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                            • Kruza
                              Mainstream Outlaw
                              • Jul 2002
                              • 6285

                              #179
                              Re: 5/11-5/17 MLB Discussion

                              Heck of a comeback by the Tigers after being down to the A's 6-0 by the end of the first inning. It's now an 8-6 ball game in the third inning.

                              Kruza
                              Last edited by Kruza; 05-17-2009, 01:48 PM.

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                              • kehlis
                                Moderator
                                • Jul 2008
                                • 27738

                                #180
                                Re: 5/11-5/17 MLB Discussion

                                Originally posted by Kruza
                                Heck of a comeback by the Tigers after being down to the A's 6-0 by the end of the first inning. It's now an 8-6 ball game in the third inning.

                                Kruza
                                It's embarrassing!!

                                The way Detroit has been hitting in this series I had a bad feeling 6-0 would be gone eventually.

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