Hyperbole in ratings...

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  • Comduklakis
    MVP
    • Oct 2005
    • 1887

    #121
    Re: Hyperbole in ratings...

    Originally posted by wodi
    On the surface it seems that way, but what I bet the simple answer is that the programmers just don't look at any results or ratings season 2,3,4,5...... They test out the rosters year one, it works out and they don't touch it again or look at what happens in any subsequent year.
    I find that doubtful since one of the roster creators used to be an amazing roster creator on OS (Beds). Beds is and was well aware of the nature of progression and regression in later seasons.
    http://www.operationsports.com/forum...y-cant-we.html

    http://www.operationsports.com/forum...ow-2012-a.html

    Comment

    • tril
      MVP
      • Nov 2004
      • 2912

      #122
      Re: Hyperbole in ratings...

      Originally posted by Comduklakis
      yes and no. Yes a lower rated player can somtimes be a better performer than a higher rated player. And certainly a lower rated player can be a better fit. The issue, as stated earlier in the thread, is that 2k uses overall as the basis for cpu rotations, free agent signings, trade value, and contract value. As a results, underlying ratings such as "awareness" and "IQ" are often inflated to raise the overall ratings for 3 and D types and other role players and specialists. The truth of the matter is that a player like Anthony Tolliver should be about as pedestrian and uncreative a passer as there is. He should shoot the three, be a passable rebounder, and play decent D with a slightly above average block. Beyond that all passes should be the safest, most uncreative possible. He should rarely even dribble, much less make any fancy moves. Reality is, that doesn't happen. Players who are specialists are able to play like players who have more varied skills. The only way to solve this is somehow have 2k figure out how to better recognize specific skills and team needs in creating player rotations, signing free agents, and making trades. I'm not holding my breath because that seems to me, with ZERO game programming knowledge, infinitely complicated.
      I think thats why they give us the control to veto trades and control all the teams in my league.
      it would be a programming nightmare to pull this off. unless you have absolute values and a finite number of years.
      they were able to program this type of logic in the college hoops series for the reasons you stated they cant do it in the NBA series.

      IN CH2k8 there is
      no salary cap
      no trades
      players lasted only 4 or 5 years. the turnover of players allowed teams to recruit the type of players they needed to fill a roster.
      Last edited by tril; 01-01-2016, 07:00 PM.

      Comment

      • wodi
        Pro
        • Jul 2014
        • 752

        #123
        Hyperbole in ratings...

        I just did a little testing with base rosters, no trades, everything automated. The results are below.

        ImageUploadedByTapatalk1451688952.283724.jpg
        ImageUploadedByTapatalk1451688961.722799.jpg

        Celtics winning the championship year 1? With that roster? That will never happen, not even a Celtics fan can disagree with that.

        ImageUploadedByTapatalk1451689082.149821.jpg
        ImageUploadedByTapatalk1451689090.920690.jpg

        Blazers win the championship year 2? Come on. Lillard and CJ are a great young pair, the they will not win the championship next year. Sorry.

        This of course is not the end all be all and won't happen every time. But if you think LeBron and that Cavs team or the Warriors don't beat that celtics team in a 7 game series 100/100 times you don't know basketball.
        Last edited by wodi; 01-01-2016, 07:02 PM.

        Comment

        • tril
          MVP
          • Nov 2004
          • 2912

          #124
          Re: Hyperbole in ratings...

          ^^
          that is whats great about NBA 2k. every my league or association plays out differently in its own little universe.
          slider adjustments, injuries, trades you make all effect the outcome of your NBA universe.
          this keeps the game fresh.

          Comment

          • Real2KInsider
            MVP
            • Dec 2003
            • 4646

            #125
            Re: Hyperbole in ratings...

            Originally posted by wodi
            This of course is not the end all be all and won't happen every time. But if you think LeBron and that Cavs team or the Warriors don't beat that celtics team in a 7 game series 100/100 times you don't know basketball.
            Were the Celtics a higher rated team than the Cavs or Warriors?

            [/topic]
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            • wodi
              Pro
              • Jul 2014
              • 752

              #126
              Hyperbole in ratings...

              Nope, it's year one base rosters. Neither team had major injuries

              Comment

              • BA2929
                The Designated Hitter
                • Jul 2008
                • 3342

                #127
                Re: Hyperbole in ratings...

                Originally posted by Jrocc23
                I don't understand why Tim Duncan is still rated so high.
                Probably because he's the greatest PF to ever play basketball. Some legacy points are probably at work. Like Kobe's 85 overall to start the season which infuriated many people (not me).
                "Baseball is the coolest sport because, at any moment, the catcher can stop the game and go tell the pitcher a secret" - Rob Fee

                Comment

                • janmagn
                  Pro
                  • Apr 2012
                  • 668

                  #128
                  Re: Hyperbole in ratings...

                  Originally posted by BA2929
                  Probably because he's the greatest PF to ever play basketball. Some legacy points are probably at work. Like Kobe's 85 overall to start the season which infuriated many people (not me).
                  The difference is, that Duncan is still a very good player

                  Lähetetty minun LG-H440n laitteesta Tapatalkilla
                  Check out my sport blog:

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                  Comment

                  • SonicMage
                    NBA Ratings Wizard
                    • Oct 2002
                    • 3544

                    #129
                    Re: Hyperbole in ratings...

                    Originally posted by janmagn
                    The difference is, that Duncan is still a very good player

                    Lähetetty minun LG-H440n laitteesta Tapatalkilla
                    Normally yes, but this year his numbers have been way down across the board. His job is to mentor Aldridge for the transition now.
                    NBA 2K18 ratings for several seasons generated from advanced analytics using the SportsCrunch system:

                    Sonicmage NBA 2K18 Ratings 2017-18 season
                    Link to Ratings 1996-2017
                    Link to Ratings 1973-1996
                    Link to Ratings All-time

                    Discussion found here

                    Comment

                    • janmagn
                      Pro
                      • Apr 2012
                      • 668

                      #130
                      Re: Hyperbole in ratings...

                      Originally posted by Sonicmage
                      Normally yes, but this year his numbers have been way down across the board. His job is to mentor Aldridge for the transition now.
                      Don't look straight to numbers. His role in offense is smaller, and he plays the best defense of his career.

                      Lähetetty minun LG-H440n laitteesta Tapatalkilla
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                      • SonicMage
                        NBA Ratings Wizard
                        • Oct 2002
                        • 3544

                        #131
                        Re: Hyperbole in ratings...

                        Originally posted by janmagn
                        Don't look straight to numbers. His role in offense is smaller, and he plays the best defense of his career.

                        Lähetetty minun LG-H440n laitteesta Tapatalkilla
                        The numbers agree with you. But its a significant enough decline in rebounds and blocks, two categories that heavily factor into the overall formula for centers, to bring his overall rating down. Not saying its a big difference, but it would be a couple points lower.
                        NBA 2K18 ratings for several seasons generated from advanced analytics using the SportsCrunch system:

                        Sonicmage NBA 2K18 Ratings 2017-18 season
                        Link to Ratings 1996-2017
                        Link to Ratings 1973-1996
                        Link to Ratings All-time

                        Discussion found here

                        Comment

                        • janmagn
                          Pro
                          • Apr 2012
                          • 668

                          #132
                          Re: Hyperbole in ratings...

                          Originally posted by Sonicmage
                          The numbers agree with you. But its a significant enough decline in rebounds and blocks, two categories that heavily factor into the overall formula for centers, to bring his overall rating down. Not saying its a big difference, but it would be a couple points lower.
                          Blocks I give to you, a full 1% on block percentage is big for a center. But rebounding? 0,5 less rebounds per 36 minutes, 0,8 worse trb%. Don't seem too much of a decline. Those can come just with adding Aldridge.

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                          • wodi
                            Pro
                            • Jul 2014
                            • 752

                            #133
                            Hyperbole in ratings...

                            It's the overall grouping of ratings rather than one specific guy being overrated though. You'll always have an argument someone is over or under rated, 2k will never be able to make it perfect. The issue is the overall scale being too bunched together initially, which causes problems when you take into account player progression year after year.
                            Last edited by wodi; 01-02-2016, 10:58 AM.

                            Comment

                            • Real2KInsider
                              MVP
                              • Dec 2003
                              • 4646

                              #134
                              Re: Hyperbole in ratings...

                              Quick review, just a few tweaks I would make.

                              Tim Duncan (C/PF from PF/C)
                              83 Overall (-3) - Includes -1 from position change
                              OFFENSE
                              90 Standing Layup (-4)
                              60 Driving Layup (-3)
                              80 Post Fade (-3)
                              95 Post Hook
                              87 Post Control (-8)
                              65 Draw Foul (-8)
                              99 Standing Close (+3)
                              92 Moving Close
                              68 Standing Mid
                              60 Moving Mid (-8)
                              35 Standing 3pt
                              25 Moving 3pt
                              74 Free Throw (-4)
                              40 Ball Control
                              61 Pass Vision (-3)
                              71 Pass IQ
                              60 Pass Accuracy (+4)
                              68 Offensive Rebound (+1)
                              50 Standing Dunk (-10)
                              40 Driving Dunk (-9)
                              40 Contact Dunk
                              84 Shot IQ (-10)
                              95 Hands (-2)

                              DEFENSE
                              86 Defensive Rebound (-1)
                              76 Block (+1)
                              88 Shot Contest
                              65 Steal (+4)
                              85 On-Ball Defense (+2)
                              86 Low Post Defense (-3)
                              88 Reaction Time

                              ATHLETICISM
                              86 Boxout (-13)
                              38 Lateral Quickness
                              37 Speed
                              38 Acceleration
                              42 Vertical
                              67 Strength (+7)
                              74 Stamina
                              75 Hustle (-3)
                              90 Durability

                              INTANGIBLES
                              92 Pass Perception
                              99 Defensive Consistency (+9)
                              95 Pick & Roll Defense
                              90 Help Defense
                              75 Offensive Consistency
                              25 Emotion
                              99 Potential

                              SUMMARY
                              Duncan is operating mostly in the "Close" range. He isn't doing much from mid-range (that's Aldridge's department) and isn't attacking the rim much. He only has 1 dunk on the year which is a huge drop-off (42 last year). This is why his Usage has decreased but his shooting efficiency has not improved.

                              Defensively, he leads the league in DRPM (albeit in more limited minutes than your average starter). As with most players, spending less energy on offense usually leads to an uptick in defensive effort/energy. However his ratings here are already high simply because he was overrated to begin with (based on his level of defensive contribution in the years leading up to to this season), and therefore there isn't much to do beyond dock his offensive ratings.
                              Last edited by Real2KInsider; 01-02-2016, 06:57 PM.
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                              • Real2KInsider
                                MVP
                                • Dec 2003
                                • 4646

                                #135
                                Re: Hyperbole in ratings...

                                Originally posted by wodi
                                It's the overall grouping of ratings rather than one specific guy being overrated though. You'll always have an argument someone is over or under rated, 2k will never be able to make it perfect. The issue is the overall scale being too bunched together initially, which causes problems when you take into account player progression year after year.
                                The issue is draft classes don't follow 2K's rating scales and randomly generate. Multiple rookies will have mid-high 70s ratings when this has become an abnormality in recent years. Take for example, the 2014 Draft

                                81/SF Wiggins
                                76/SF Parker
                                76/C Embiid
                                74/PF Gordon
                                73/PG Exum
                                75/PG Smart
                                76/PF Randle
                                67/SG Stauskas
                                67/PF Vonleh

                                76/PG Payton
                                74/SF McDermott
                                76/PG LaVine
                                76/SF Warren
                                71/PF Payne
                                74/C Nurkic
                                66/SG Young
                                67/PG Ennis

                                73/SG Harris
                                65/SF Caboclo
                                73/C McGary
                                70/SG Adams
                                74/SG Hood
                                70/PG Napier
                                75/C Capela
                                69/SF Hairston
                                67/SG Wilcox
                                65/SF Huestis

                                71/SF Anderson

                                Only one player rates > 76 and can be considered a starting caliber player.
                                Two top 10 players already busted and are < 70 rating.

                                These are sophomore ratings so their rookie ratings were generally even lower than this. 2K generated draft classes don't replicate this, as players start too high and generally don't bust (receive worse ratings over time as it becomes clear the player sucks). If you want realism in your MyGM/Leagues you need to use custom draft classes which can control the variance..
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