No way.
This is by far one of the more complex fighting games. Half the fighting games out there can be played by just mashing buttons anyways, until you reach a certain level of play. Hand a 3 year old a controller for Street Fighter and then hand him one for UFC 3. Let me know how much he loves SF and how that tantrum goes after. Fighting games may have a higher skill ceiling, but a higher skill floor is asinine. That's usually the selling point for games like Tekken or Smash, anyone can play them but there is depth to be found. It's just not the same with this game, and I'm not even saying that it needs to be, I'm just pointing out that it's not.
This game is entirely different from those you listed. The comparison to Madden or NBA was more apt because of what those games are. I wouldn't think this game is drawing from the Tekken fanbase as much the Sports Game fanbase. I'm sure some people are just fighting game fans who were interested in the game, but I would assume the sports fan percentage to be higher. However, to suggest that UFC is easier to play than Tekken is laughable.
Don't believe me?
Again lets test it. Not even with a child, grab an adult. Don't explain how to play either game and just let them try both. I promise you they won't have the same kind of success with UFC they would with Tekken. You could actually play through the entire story mode of Tekken, fight homies online or offline with relative success, without ever knowing a single combo or special attack. My best friend is a Tekken fanatic (Your Sexy Sloth on XBL) but he only started playing the game like two years ago playing Tag 2 because his Ex and her friends were obsessive over it. They played that game religiously, but Zach had never really played it longer than 10 or so minutes at a time.
Long story short, over time nobody wanted to play with him at all anymore. By the time he bought Tekken 7 he had to coerce people to play against him and pick specific characters and such. He has several characters with very high rankings in treasure battle and I rarely see him lose. All of that without ever once entering practice mode or looking at a move list. He just figured it out.
You can not do the same thing in UFC 3 at all, just can't. If nobody explains grappling, submissions, reversals, head movement, counters, stamina, stationary strikes, on and on and so forth you'll never just figure it out on your own. Even if you're an MMA fan who knows you SHOULD be able to do that thing, figuring out the input without help would be impossible.
So I just don't see how you can say that's objectively easier. I understand all I'm providing is anecdotal evidence, but this isn't really a conversation for which stats exist, all I'd be able to provide is my own perspective.
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