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  • redsox4evur
    Hall Of Fame
    • Jul 2013
    • 18169

    #14926
    Re: NFL Off Topic

    Originally posted by l3ulvl
    You think NFL teams would use a top pick on a developmental player? I can't see that ever happening, especially since they can't take some HS phenom and hope for the best. Baseball can be a crapshoot in the draft, NFL prospects have a much clearer career projection, the bust rate is lower, there really isn't a need to take a risk on a player that may or may not contribute when the odds are in your favor to draft someone who can contribute immediately. NFL risks are usually about injuries or off field issues, in baseball it's a question of whether the kid can actually play
    Teams have done this recently. Look at the Patriots in the draft before this years. There top 2 picks Dominique Easley and Jimmy Garoppolo. Easley was coming off of a torn ACL and Jimmy Garoppolo is a QB, enough said. So there are some teams that are taking projects. Also look at GB when they took Rodgers. He was a top QB in his draft and they still had Favre as a capable QB.
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    • l3ulvl
      Hall Of Fame
      • Dec 2009
      • 17227

      #14927
      Re: NFL Off Topic

      Originally posted by redsox4evur
      Teams have done this recently. Look at the Patriots in the draft before this years. There top 2 picks Dominique Easley and Jimmy Garoppolo. Easley was coming off of a torn ACL and Jimmy Garoppolo is a QB, enough said. So there are some teams that are taking projects. Also look at GB when they took Rodgers. He was a top QB in his draft and they still had Favre as a capable QB.
      Idunno man, sure those are technically top picks because of the rounds they were taken but Easley & Rodgers were mid-late 20s and Garoppolo was end of the 2nd. It's a lot easier to pick a potential incumbent at 62 than top 5. Lately when you take a top QB right away you want them to play immediately, look what happened with Manning and Luck in Indy, they couldn't bring Peyton back because Luck needed to play immediately, you can't really stash away top picks for the future in the NFL
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      • wwharton
        *ll St*r
        • Aug 2002
        • 26949

        #14928
        Re: NFL Off Topic

        Originally posted by l3ulvl
        Your example reminds me of the Pistons drafting Darko
        I bet you wish the D league was a legit alternative lol

        Originally posted by l3ulvl
        Idunno man, sure those are technically top picks because of the rounds they were taken but Easley & Rodgers were mid-late 20s and Garoppolo was end of the 2nd. It's a lot easier to pick a potential incumbent at 62 than top 5. Lately when you take a top QB right away you want them to play immediately, look what happened with Manning and Luck in Indy, they couldn't bring Peyton back because Luck needed to play immediately, you can't really stash away top picks for the future in the NFL
        We're talking NFL, not NBA where there are only 2 rounds. A 2nd round pick (62) is VERY valuable in the NFL, let alone a late 20s pick.

        Manning wasn't let go because Luck needed to play immediately. Luck is a next generation player who would play right away no matter if there are minor leagues or not. Literally any other example would be better.

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        • l3ulvl
          Hall Of Fame
          • Dec 2009
          • 17227

          #14929
          Re: NFL Off Topic

          Originally posted by wwharton
          I bet you wish the D league was a legit alternative lol
          not sure if it would've mattered



          We're talking NFL, not NBA where there are only 2 rounds. A 2nd round pick (62) is VERY valuable in the NFL, let alone a late 20s pick.

          Manning wasn't let go because Luck needed to play immediately. Luck is a next generation player who would play right away no matter if there are minor leagues or not. Literally any other example would be better.
          I understand a late 2nd round pick is valuable, but you can't possibly compare it to the value of a top 5 pick. Even when you used the Patriots for your hypothetical example you mentioned a trade that allowed them a high top pick, instead of their usual late 20s slot.

          I'm not understanding your Luck/Manning comment. My point is even a legend will get kicked out if you have the top pick and a replacement is ready. Luck aside, which top 5 QBs have been given the year off lately? It seems the trend now is to play right away or at least midway through season 1.
          Wolverines Wings Same Old Lions Tigers Pistons Erika Christensen

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          • redsox4evur
            Hall Of Fame
            • Jul 2013
            • 18169

            #14930
            Re: NFL Off Topic

            Originally posted by l3ulvl
            I'm not understanding your Luck/Manning comment. My point is even a legend will get kicked out if you have the top pick and a replacement is ready. Luck aside, which top 5 QBs have been given the year off lately? It seems the trend now is to play right away or at least midway through season 1.
            He is trying to say that Luck/Manning is a horrible example because Luck is the next generational talent at QB in the NFL like Manning was coming out of the draft. Even if there was a D-League or whatever he would have been the starter anyway.
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            • l3ulvl
              Hall Of Fame
              • Dec 2009
              • 17227

              #14931
              Re: NFL Off Topic

              Originally posted by redsox4evur
              He is trying to say that Luck/Manning is a horrible example because Luck is the next generational talent at QB in the NFL like Manning was coming out of the draft. Even if there was a D-League or whatever he would have been the starter anyway.
              Ok, but after the year Indy had in 2011 wouldn't RG3 have been given the same treatment if Luck wasn't a draft option? Forget what you know about Griffin in hindsight, his stock wasn't that far below Luck's entering the draft. Would the Colts have retained Manning and sent Griffin to a D-League?

              The year before was Cam, probably not considered generational talent, but if Carolina was in the same position Indy was in, would they have sent Cam to the d-league?

              I'm also curious about the ramifications of KNOWING if a certain team selects you, you'll be sent down instead of playing, would a prospect pull an Eli or Elway and refuse to be drafted by a team if they know they'll get sent down to a lower division?
              Wolverines Wings Same Old Lions Tigers Pistons Erika Christensen

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              • wwharton
                *ll St*r
                • Aug 2002
                • 26949

                #14932
                Re: NFL Off Topic

                Originally posted by l3ulvl
                I understand a late 2nd round pick is valuable, but you can't possibly compare it to the value of a top 5 pick. Even when you used the Patriots for your hypothetical example you mentioned a trade that allowed them a high top pick, instead of their usual late 20s slot.

                I'm not understanding your Luck/Manning comment. My point is even a legend will get kicked out if you have the top pick and a replacement is ready. Luck aside, which top 5 QBs have been given the year off lately? It seems the trend now is to play right away or at least midway through season 1.
                Relatively speaking for this discussion, you definitely can compare. So many players HAVE to get significant time in the NFL that what you need from your 2nd round pick is comparable to what an NBA team needs from their 1st rounder. And if we look at the success rate over the years, my guess is there isn't a huge difference in hits/misses between 1st and 2nd rounders. Just keep in mind the context of THIS conversation... we can't only talk about the top 5 picks.

                As for Luck, you picked the Lebron James of draft picks... he's probably the closest thing to a can't miss #1 pick since Peyton Manning. Not to mention, your example paints the picture that Manning was his usual self with maybe a little rust on the rims. He just had a serious injury that made many wonder if he'd ever play again, or be close to the same if he did. For a comparison, if the Pats had the #1 pick, I don't see them shipping of Brady for Luck... maybe they trade him for A LOT or trade the pick, but it's not like they'd just let him walk.

                Originally posted by l3ulvl
                Ok, but after the year Indy had in 2011 wouldn't RG3 have been given the same treatment if Luck wasn't a draft option? Forget what you know about Griffin in hindsight, his stock wasn't that far below Luck's entering the draft. Would the Colts have retained Manning and sent Griffin to a D-League?

                The year before was Cam, probably not considered generational talent, but if Carolina was in the same position Indy was in, would they have sent Cam to the d-league?

                I'm also curious about the ramifications of KNOWING if a certain team selects you, you'll be sent down instead of playing, would a prospect pull an Eli or Elway and refuse to be drafted by a team if they know they'll get sent down to a lower division?
                No RG3 wasn't on the same planet as Luck, no matter his hype leading up to the draft. He never had a shot at being picked before Luck. As for Cam... maybe. As I mentioned, Carson Palmer, Steve McNair, Donovan McNabb, Phillip Rivers, Big Ben, Michael Vick, Eli Manning... all had to sit after being drafted high, with expectations of being the franchise QB.

                You're pretty much explaining my issue with the league today... the culture has changed to say these kids should play right away. The norm used to be that there was a good chance these guys sit at least a few games, if not a year. Some guys prove their ready sooner, but these days they all get thrown into game action to be judged and beat down by the fans, media, and eventually the team.

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                • dsallupinyaarea
                  Rookie
                  • Jan 2009
                  • 2764

                  #14933
                  Re: NFL Off Topic

                  Your Friday afternoon BSing read/watch:

                  I recently stumbled across some pretty nifty cut-up videos of NFL sacks, which highlight the effort, techniques and schemes that result in losses for offenses.


                  His book "The Essential Smart Football" is the goods. He released a new one last week but I haven't read it yet.
                  NFL - Vikings

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                  xbox - dsallupinyoarea

                  Comment

                  • Bmore Irish
                    The Future
                    • Jul 2011
                    • 3461

                    #14934
                    Re: NFL Off Topic

                    Originally posted by dsallupinyaarea
                    Your Friday afternoon BSing read/watch:

                    I recently stumbled across some pretty nifty cut-up videos of NFL sacks, which highlight the effort, techniques and schemes that result in losses for offenses.


                    His book "The Essential Smart Football" is the goods. He released a new one last week but I haven't read it yet.
                    I've been meaning to pick up The Essential Smart Football for a while now. Been seeing the new one mentioned quite a bit on Twitter, probably pick up both here soon.

                    Comment

                    • ThreeKing
                      Banned
                      • Aug 2007
                      • 5852

                      #14935
                      Re: NFL Off Topic

                      New York Jets wide receiver Brandon Marshall spent six seasons catching passes from Jay Cutler in Denver and Chicago, but doesn't consider him the best quarterback he's ever played with.That designation belongs to another former Denver Broncos teammate: Kyle Orton. Marshall made the revelation during an impromptu Twitter question-and-answer session Thursday: Probably... Kyle Orton just bad body https://t.co/BntiGmUx3N— Machine Marshall (@BMarshall) July 17, 2015 Marshall and Orton played together in 2009, Josh McDaniels' first season as head coach of the Broncos. Orton threw for a career-high 3,802 yards and 21 touchdowns that season, while Marshall finished with 101 catches for 1,120 yards and 10 touchdowns.Marshall also admitted that he still misses Denver: Yes https://t.co/iV9nv0KYHl— Machine Marshall (@BMarshall) July 17, 2015

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                      • redsox4evur
                        Hall Of Fame
                        • Jul 2013
                        • 18169

                        #14936
                        Re: NFL Off Topic

                        Originally posted by ThreeKing
                        Who did he play with in Miami? All I remember is maybe Matt Moore and a washed up Culpepper.
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                        • ThreeKing
                          Banned
                          • Aug 2007
                          • 5852

                          #14937
                          Re: NFL Off Topic

                          Originally posted by redsox4evur
                          Who did he play with in Miami? All I remember is maybe Matt Moore and a washed up Culpepper.

                          Exactly. It's a complete dig at Cutler.

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                          • kehlis
                            Moderator
                            • Jul 2008
                            • 27738

                            #14938
                            Re: NFL Off Topic

                            Originally posted by ThreeKing
                            Exactly. It's a complete dig at Cutler.
                            Only in your world is that a "dig" at Cutler.

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                            • ThreeKing
                              Banned
                              • Aug 2007
                              • 5852

                              #14939
                              Re: NFL Off Topic

                              I'm obviously aware that Cutler is terrible, but there's no way that he legitimately thinks that Orton was better. They had a falling out towards the end. It was well known around here.

                              Comment

                              • MajorSupreme
                                MVP
                                • Aug 2013
                                • 1559

                                #14940
                                Re: NFL Off Topic

                                Originally posted by ThreeKing
                                I'm obviously aware that Cutler is terrible, but there's no way that he legitimately thinks that Orton was better. They had a falling out towards the end. It was well known around here.
                                Orton and Marshall had a falling out or Cutler and Marshall?

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