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Originally Posted by yanksdaniel99 |
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My god, you'll just defend Baez to the ends of the earth on this one, Lindor is the better player right now.
1) Through 39 games (162 PA) in High A, Baez is hitting exactly .200 with a .241 OBP.
2) As its been stated before, we all know Baez has a higher ceiling, its a strong 7 hit tool and strong 7 power tool, however unless the plate discipline improves, it'll never show. Lindor is a much safer bet, he's a strong 6 hit tool and a moderate 5 power but with the plate discipline, he's almost sure to get there.
3) No one said Baez is a bad defender, hes probably a 5ish type but Lindor is an elite defender, a strong 7 easily. Defensively, its not even close.
Lindor is much closer to the bigs and a much safer bet to get there.
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Again, I don't think Lindor is really closer to the bigs, they both are likely 2015 ETAs.
Also, I think saying Lindor is a 6 hit/5 power may be a little generous. It's possible but I don't know, a guy who hit .257 in A-ball, and only 6 homers in 567 PA. That seems more like a 5 hit, 4 power ceiling. He could grow into more, but I'm guessing it would be pretty hard to find hitters that had those numbers in A ball that became 6 hit/5 power.
In the end, this may be a dumb discussion to have this early. It will be clearer in June who is more progressed when more than 15 games have been played.
Both are great prospects, given they both are consensus top 20 prospects, so I'm not trying to knock either, I just prefer Baez. I guess my Baez love is well documented, but I am just very high on him and I'm guessing most GMs would take the crazy ceiling over the safe prospects when considering both are in A-ball.
Last comment: you say that Lindor is better right now, but what if his numbers go back to how he has been hitting in the past, and Baez starts to tear it up again like last year? Pretty safe to call Baez better at that point. Plus as I showed earlier, Parks has Baez as the #2 prospect in all of baseball in his prediction for next year's top 10. I just think that deserves a little more respect than he's getting on OS at the moment.
ETA: For comparison, he has Lindor #9 on his top 10 for next year.