UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders

[TheJamesKraus]

This card is a sleeper so far.

Didn't look stacked on paper but so far 3 fights, 3 finishes.

Just hope Lyoto gets it done.

[johnmangala]

UFC FN 125- Belém, Brazil

Paul Felder and Brendan Fitzgerald on commentary.

Rather underrated card, should expect a few good fights and maybe some finishes.

Brazil going undefeated in the prelims, 5-0.

Spoiler

=MW

Spoiler

Thiago Santos (|):[=(-245|$1.4x|20/49)(70%)()()()()()()(){}|||||||/\|||||||]
x

Anthony Smith (|):[=(+225|$3.3x|9/4)(30%)()()()()()()(){}|||||||/\|||||||]
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~BW

Spoiler

Douglas Silva de Andrade (|):[=(+155|$2.6x|31/20)(40%)()()()()()()(){}|||||||/\|||||||]
x

Marlon Vera (|):[=(-165|$1.6x|20/33)(60%)()()()()()()(){}|||||||/\|||||||]
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~HW

Spoiler

Timothy Johnson (|):[=(+150|$2.5x|3/2)(40%)()()()()()()(){}|||||||/\|||||||]
x

Marcelo Golm (|):[=(-160|$1.6x|5/8)(60%)()()()()()()(){}|||||||/\|||||||]
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=CW: 161lbs

Spoiler

Michel Prezeres (|):[=(-110|$1.9x|10/11)(55%)()()()()()()(){}|||||||/\|||||||]
x

Desmond Green (|):[=(+100|$2x|1/1)(45%)()()()()()()(){}|||||||/\|||||||]
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~WSW

Spoiler

Valentina Schevchenko (|):[=(-905|$1.1x|20/181)(90%)()()()()()()(){}|||||||/\|||||||]
x

Priscila Cachoeira (|):[=(+705|$8.1x|141/20)(10%)()()()()()()(){}|||||||/\|||||||]
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~MW

Spoiler

Lyoto Machida (|):[=(+235|$3.4x|47/20)(25%)()()()()()()(){}|||||||/\|||||||]
x

Eryk Anders (|):[=(-255|$1.4x|20/51)(75%)()()()()()()(){}|||||||/\|||||||]
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Perfect Combination:
Expected Earnings: $12.7x ($9x<=>$21.9x)
Actual Earnings: ($9x<=>$21.9x)
Live Upsets: Smith, Green, & Machida
Analysis:
POTN:
FOTN:

================================
Weightclass
Underline: Underdog
Bold: Expected win
Italic: Fantasy win
=risky
~incl
-pass

A (Rank|Win-Loss, Draw; No Contest):[Streak=(Odds) (i(P)) (Age|Height|Reach) (Experience/Opposition) (Skill/Adaption) (Plan/Fitness) (Accuracy/Reflex) (Risk/Habit) (Offense/Defense) {Favor} | Strategy | Technique | Aspect | Trouble | Submit | Stance | /Team\ | Wrestling D:O | Muay Thai D:O | BJJ D:O | Kickboxing D:O | TMA D:O | Boxing D:O |]
x
B (|):[=()()()()()()()()(){}|||||||/\|||||||]
: Keys
:: Predictions
::: Hedges
::: Moment
:: Lowlights
: Highlights

[TheJamesKraus]

My picks for the main: Thiago Santos, Marlon Vera, Marcelo Golm, Prazeres, Valentina, Eryk Anders.


Really want Machida to win but he will probably get backed up to the cage and smushed on the ground.

Valentina has an easy fight, she should get a first round finish and then she will fight for the belt.

Marreta, Vera, Golm are all too good for their opponents.

I'm unsure about Prazeres vs Desmond Green but I'm picking Prazeres because he would win a dec in brazil.

[Dave_S]

That was a Weidman level mistake from Santos, almost.

[p_rushing]

Quote: Originally Posted by TheJamesKraus

I'm unsure about Prazeres vs Desmond Green but I'm picking Prazeres because he would win a dec in brazil.

Green shouldn't have taken this fight. Prazeres missed weight, missed his 173 fight night limit. He is at 180lbs and will have around 20lbs on Green. That is not fair, even for the additional pay.

Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk

[Dave_S]

Let's go Cheetoh!

That last fight was awesome.

[TheJamesKraus]

Quote: Originally Posted by p_rushing

Green shouldn't have taken this fight. Prazeres missed weight, missed his 173 fight night limit. He is at 180lbs and will have around 20lbs on Green. That is not fair, even for the additional pay. Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk

I agree. Will Brooks was in the same situation when he fought Cowboy Oliveira, he ended up losing and it was probably due to the weight advantage Oliveira had.

Prazeres is 5ft6 with a 67 inch reach and will fight at Welterweight next, that is pretty hilarious.

[TheJamesKraus]

Brazil be like ''We're not here just to take part, we're here to take over!!!''

Would love Machida to go full McGregor.