2019 Miami Heat Offseason Summary
Recap: The Miami Heat came into this offseason with conflicted emotions. On one hand, they had just made the NBA Finals for the first time since 2014, and while they lost in 6 games to the Golden State Warriors, they received praise league-wide with the manner in which they achieved that goal even if they weren't quite able to reach the pinnacle. In terms of departures, the single biggest one would be the exiting of Dwyane Wade. Despite the fact that Wade had signed on to play for the 2019-2020 NBA Season, he ultimately felt that it was time for him to move on from the game. His #3 jersey was naturally retired with the Heat, and he will certainly be enshrined in the NBA Hall of Fame as soon as his waiting period passes. In total, he played 16 years in the NBA(14 with Miami, 1 with Chicago, and 1 with Cleveland) while collecting 3 NBA Championships, 1 Finals MVP, and 12x All-Star Appearances and averaging 21.3PPG, 5.4RPG, 4.6RPG, 1.5SPG, 0.9BPG, 48/30/77 with 22,934 points total. Not too shabby for a kid from Chicago who played college at Marquette. Nothing but love for D-Wade.
How did this end up shaking the Heat's strategic plans? Not too much honestly. While the Heat would have enjoyed another year from Wade off the bench, this merely advances Kostja Mushidi's crunch role off the bench as a primary scorer. The rookie had numerous big game scenarios that he had to step into this year so hopefully he's prepared to make that leap and continue developing his offensive skills. With no other major situations other than the Heat confirming Bam Adebayo's 2-year team options... it was time to shift the focus over to the NBA Draft process. Due to the fact that the draft other than the lottery is slotted by record, the Heat would be picking 21st overall in the 2019 NBA Draft. A slot where you could certainly get someone who can contribute. In terms of lottery craziness, there was plenty of it. The San Antonio Spurs who were slotted #12 pre-lotto jumped all the way up to #2, and the New York Knicks slotted #9 jumped to the 1st Overall Selection... yeah... nothing shady at all about either of those two things.
But we won't dwell too long on that. The Miami Heat through the combine and private draft workouts combed through the draft class and saw a few guys they liked. Amongst them at the higher end were SG
Rolando Stockton and PG
Shane Clark. Both were projected to go around the Top 10. Still, the reason the Heat were scouting them out as the fact that the Indiana Pacers had two picks in the Top 12, and they were interested in moving one of them. If Stockton or Clark started to slide outside of that realm, the Heat reportedly would have been willing to move the likes of a Kelly Olynyk and/or James Johnson in order to leap up and snag one of them. The reason? Stockton has an exceptionally high-ceiling as a scorer since he's only 21 years old. Some have even likened him to a James Harden-lite caliber player considering he already possess a dynamic offensive game and playmaking ability yet lacks greatly in the defensive department. The Heat feel like they could help him sure-up on that end, and while they have Dion Waiters, Stockton has the potential to be a bonafide star as opposed to a guy who just lights it up every once in awhile.
Clark on the other hand is a mammoth point guard. 6'5" at the age of 22, and while he doesn't have the shooting capabilities out of a guard that you'd like to see in the 21st century of NBA basketball, his handles and passing skills are brilliant. Imagine how much of a mis-match he could be for some opposing lineups in the Miami Heat's system. Still, these were guys who would only be options if they fell. If they were selected early and didn't fall, Miami had a small number of options they liked at their pick. Just to throw a few out there, you have the likes of
Dustin Wingate, Jud Wall, Skip Falls, and
Hugh Fowlkes.
So how did the draft go? Well, the Knicks and Spurs took care of the top two selections by taking the likes of Caron Nicholson and Cam Roberts. Nicholson is a PF who's only 20-years old and is projected to be the face of the NBA moving forward. If not that, his already potent offensive and defensive abilities will make him at minimum a 2nd star on a Championship team. That's how good he is. As for the Spurs, they focused more on potential with their pick in a SG by the name of Cam Roberts who went to school at California. The team may get to the point where Kawhi could be handing the torch off to him down the line. Anyways, two picks later and it was the Indiana Pacers turn. Just to touch base, the Miami Heat checked in to see what it would cost to get the #5 pick. It would take some form of both Dragic and Waiters, and the Heat weren't interested in blowing up a backcourt that had gotten them to the NBA Finals. Then... that's when it happened. The Indiana Pacers had announced they struck a trade with the Los Angeles Clippers. DeAndre Jordan would be going to the Pacers, and in exchange the Clippers got Pick #5. They took Rolando Stockton. Yup... ouch. To make matters worse, with the #6 Pick the Dallas Mavericks selected Shane Clark! Yup, in back-to-back picks the Heat's plan to trade up was nuked. No big moves coming, they would just stand pat until they took...
2019 Pick #21 Selection: Hugh Fowlkes
Analysis: Let's breakdown this selection. Why did the Miami Heat just take a 6 foot point guard out of Penn State this late on? Well, it's because Fowlkes can bring something to the Heat that they have lacked in each of the past 3 seasons behind Dragic. They did their best to give Kay Felder a shot last year but he got injured. They need somebody who can run an offense when he's off the floor, and Hugh Fowlkes may just be able to do that. Let's get his flaws out of the way. He's poor finishing at the rim and his mid-range game is weak. He's poor defensively, though okay at defending the pick-and-roll, and finally he's incredibly weak and will struggle mightily ala the likes of Isaiah Thomas due to his size. So what does he do well? He's fast, he can pull up from 3, and his play-making abilities aren't so bad. He wears #30 because his favorite player growing up was Steph Curry(Steph is 31, Hugh is 22 just for an idea...) and he's got a bit of swagger to him. There's potential for him to be a lightning rod off the bench or flame out like Jimmer Fredette. Only time will tell.
There truthfully weren't many other options for the Heat to go with. Skip Falls and Jud Wall were the other two candidates but none of them had the long-term benefit of potential growth like Fowlkes. These are the sort of decisions you'll be forced into when you're picking later on in the 1st Round. Were there any trade options for the Heat to make? Certainly. A lot of teams wouldn't have minded dealing a lottery protected 1st next year or in 2021 for the pick but it wasn't juicy enough for the Heat to ever pull the trigger. Finally, you had some pre-Free Agency things go down with some team and player options being declined and accepted. The Minnesota Timberwolves came close to having their core imploded, but Karl Anthony Towns and Jimmy Butler both decided to re-up their contracts. LeBron James was a Free Agent a second and was contemplating going to the Chicago Bulls, but he re-signed in Cleveland on a 3-year/120M deal with a final 4th year player option for 46M... crazy.
How did Free Agency go for the Heat? Nothing major. They let the likes of James Ennis, Nick Young, Luc Mbah a Moute, and Tyson Chandler all walk. Briante Weber and Davis Bertans had their G-League deals expire and each opted to sign longer-term deals elsewhere in Denver and Minnesota. So who did the Heat sign? Two 1-year deals to
Taj Gibson and
Ben McLemore. McLemore is a 26-year old guard who was a former Top 10 pick with the Sacramento Kings. After things didn't work out there, he ended up with Memphis and then the Knicks. In NY last year he averaged 8.7PPG on 43/37/81 splits so not horrible... he signed with the Heat on a minimum deal hoping they can raise his value. Taj Gibson meanwhile has spent the last two years with the Timberwolves. Yet due to the fact the T-Wolves wanted to spread the floor more and actually signed Davis Bertans, there was no room left for Gibson and he decided to sign in South Florida where he's expected to wind down his career considering he is 34-years old.
While these may not seem like the most world-beating moves, they were never supposed to be that. With every player who played major minutes last year under contract, there was no need for Miami to get wild and start making massive trades. Some would argue they could improve the core of the team, but with what salary cap space? This team is essentially set in stone with the exception of a few minor changing parts. Along with a few other deals Miami signed PG
Frank Mason to a 2-year/minimum contract as well as
Doug McDermott and
DeAndre Bembry to a 1-year/two-way deal. McDermott is not expected to see next to any gametime action while Bembry will serve in the G-League alongside
Tyler Lydon who was also signed to a two-way deal. Overall, Miami was looking to lean more on the side of younger players who can develop in their system rather than investing in veterans who will get antsy riding the bench for too long.
Finally, you had the NBA Summer League! The last real action that basketball fans care about before the regular season gets up and running. How did Miami do? Well, with veterans Bam Adebayo and Kostja Mushidi returning along with the likes of Dante Exum and Tony Bradley who filled out the Heat's Summer League roster they were looking stacked... and then they lost their opening two games. Mushidi was looking sensational, while Hugh Fowlkes struggled greatly early on including a 2/15 effort against the Phoenix Suns with fans wondering how the hell the Heat took this guy over other options available. Slowly, Miami got better and were slotted as the #13 seed after going 1-2. In their first game they smashed the 0-3 Celtics 88-70, with Mushidi scoring 21. Then they defeated Sacramento Kings in the following round with more great play Bam Adebayo and Dzanan Musa who was also apart of the Summer League roster. They then beat the Spurs in a thriller between Mushidi and #2 pick Cam Roberts. Heat won 107-103. Finally in the Semi-Finals where they lost last year the Heat stunned the LA Lakers led by Lonzo Ball and Kyle Kuzma. Fowlkes had 13 with 3 3-pointers. Bam looked great. Finally in the final they beat the LA Clippers(though Stockton was out) but were still led by Garry Trent Jr. and Danny Shepard. Hugh Fowlkes had by far his best game scoring 26 points and gathering 5 assists as the Heat defeated the LA Clippers, 103-97 to win the 2019 Summer League Tournament!
2019/2020 Miami Heat Staring Rotation and Bench
Roster Summary:
PG: Goran Dragic --------> (80 OVR | 33 | 33 Minutes)
SG: Dion Waiters --------> (79 OVR | 27 | 31 Minutes)
SF: Justise Winslow -----> (78 OVR | 23 | 32 Minutes)
PF: James Johnson ------> (78 OVR | 32 | 29 Minutes)
C: Hassan Whiteside ----> (88 OVR | 30 | 34 Minutes)
6th: Kelly Olynyk --------> (78 OVR | 28 | 22 Minutes)
7th: Kostja Mushidi ------> (73 OVR | 22 | 20 Minutes)
8th: Taj Gibson ----------> (76 OVR | 34 | 18 Minutes)
9th: Bam Adebayo -------> (76 OVR | 22 | 12 Minutes)
10th: Hugh Fowlkes ------> (68 OVR | 22 | 6 Minutes)
11th: Rodney McGruder --> (76 OVR | 28 | 3 Minutes)
12th: Ben McLemore ----> (75 OVR | 26 | 0 Minutes)
13th: Frank Mason -------> (72 OVR | 25 | 0 Minutes)
14th: Doug McDermott --> (73 OVR | 27 | 0 Minutes)
Analysis: Incredibly similar lineup to last year with some minor minute adjustments here and there in the starting lineup. The biggest leap being made is the fact that Kostja Mushidi is not going to be handled with kid gloves. He's expected to be a legitimate scorer and lead the 2nd man unit alongside Kelly Olynyk. Bam Adebayo is also expected to see a jolt in his numbers. How Hugh Fowlkes handles his limited minutes in the first month or so will greatly determine whether or not he continues to play or whether or not Rodney McGruder will swoop in and get his playing time. Ben McLemore may not be getting any minutes right now, but with injuries sure to come expect him to be a scorer the Heat will rely on for small stretches. Finally, the Heat are taking the approach of conserving Taj Gibson's minutes early so as not to burn him out. Plus, with Whiteside, Olynyk, and Bam already needing minutes of their own sharing will be vital to preserving the peace and chemistry of this squad. Other than that, I'd say we're good.
Expectations: 46 wins and a 2nd Round appearance. Maybe ECF if I'm feeling greedy.