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Originally Posted by Chip Douglass |
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1. Yeah, I don't know if people realize this, but Ned Colleti no longer runs the Dodgers. The guy who used to run the Tampa Bay Rays and the guy who was Billy Beane's lieutenant in Oakland run the Dodgers now.
The "Dodgers buy everyone" stereotype was true when Ned Colleti was around buying the core of the 2012 Boston Red Sox, but since Friedman/Zaidi took over, the Dodgers skipped on signing Scherzer and Lester and opted to sign Brandon McCarthy and Brett Anderson and passed on acquiring an ace at the deadline. Probably the only time the Dodgers have thrown their financial weight around in the Friedman-era was when they signed Hector Olivera...and he's no longer with the team. You can be super-rich like the Dodgers and still care about cost/benefit analysis.
2. Lots of people in baseball think Puig's a goner. His numbers have headed the wrong way the past 3 seasons and the organization doesn't like his work habits/personality. If Puig gets flipped, we'll probably get a young, cost controlled pitcher in return. That might be the way the Dodgers replace Greinke if he ends up walking.
3. The Dodgers spent most of last winter trying to improve their defense and that started by flipping Kemp to a division rival. We're not going to turn around and sign Matt Kemp's twin (Upton). Whoever signs Upton will end up regretting it.
4. With Greinke, it really comes down to what he wants. If he wants to spend the rest of his career as a Dodger, then he'll give them a relative pay cut. If his goal is to maximize $$$$, then he'll sign for 6/150 or 7/175 with someone else. Friedman's not going to open the vault to lock up an aging pitcher; that's the opposite of his MO and what he did last winter. Greinke's an aloof guy and it's hard to know what his mindset is. Given his reluctance to be in the spotlight, he probably loves being the best #2 starter in the world though.
5. If we end up going to the FA well to replace Greinke, Jordan Zimmermann's probably the one Friedman would target.
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Regarding point #3, I really hope the Mariners don't get him.
If we still have Jack Z I wouldn't doubt it.
Anyway, the Dodgers are gonna have a really interesting offseason for sure.