Made my own ratings calculator

[DSzymborski]

Re: Made my own ratings calculator

I have a question with that though...

Yangervis Solarte is a projected 82 & 74 contact hitter....That's better than a lot of major leaguers....This guy is only a starting 2B in AAA Round Rock.

Well, if he was better at the other stuff, he wouldn't be in AAA. There are lots of contact guys who don't bring enough to the table otherwise.

[DSzymborski]

Re: Made my own ratings calculator

Hey Dan do you think it would be wise for rascoc to incorporate all major projection systems into a composite rating for his calculator? Me being a Mariners fan, I noticed your system is particularly harsh on the M's hitters(and the A's but I could care less about them), I honestly don't see Ichiro repeating last year and Ackley getting worse, or Catricala being our 4th best hitter; does the ZiPS system use comparable players and career paths or does it heavily favor the most recent year?

Also, for guys who have not made it to the bigs yet but already have projections - How are their ratings determined and is a similar system used for MLB'ers with a year or less experience?

Sorry, meant to be more detailed.

Yeah, ZiPS uses large pools of comparable players (including now nearly 40 years of minor leaguers).

Catricala's a pretty good hitter - if his defense wasn't atrocious, he'd be in the lineup!

[DSzymborski]

Re: Made my own ratings calculator

rascoc, I noticed you have prospects in there that can be added, so a couple of quick questions before I potentially implement them:

a) are the ZiPS projections what they should CURRENTLY be (i.e. are they lessened to reflect that a guy projected to hit .330 in AA isn't going to hit .330 in the majors)?

and if so, b) for a guy like Josh Bell who, where there are 2 prospects that share the same name (Orioles guy and Pirates guy), how would I distinguish between the 2 in ZiPS?

It's projecting major league equivalent performance - I'm not projecting minor league performance. That's why most minor leaguers come out pretty terrible (else they'd be at higher levels!)

I try to avoid duplicating names same-season to give myself less of a headache. There are a few ones I missed (forgot about there being 2 Paul Phillipses). Not like we can use MLBAM ID for a Show roster!

[DSzymborski]

Re: Made my own ratings calculator

I didn't ask permission. I used a .dll that someone else had already written to parse html. It was somewhat complicated, but worked well when I learned the ins and outs. The pain was B-R constantly changed their site and I had to rewrite the code every time they did it. I'd have done it much differently if I knew that.

I doubt Sean would mind. If you need help getting data from him for a specific purpose, you could probably just ask him.

If you're data-mining splits or something, retrosheet has a very simple structure.

[Scott]

Re: Made my own ratings calculator

Well, if he was better at the other stuff, he wouldn't be in AAA. There are lots of contact guys who don't bring enough to the table otherwise.

I gotcha his ratings were like this when i inputed it in...

RT Contact - 82
LT Contact - 74
RT Power - 30
LT Power - 35
Vision - 86
Discipline - 37
Clutch - 66
Durability - 64
BR Ability - 61
BR Aggressiveness - 9

So that doesn't seem too far stretched.

[eman11]

Re: Made my own ratings calculator

It's projecting major league equivalent performance - I'm not projecting minor league performance. That's why most minor leaguers come out pretty terrible (else they'd be at higher levels!)

I try to avoid duplicating names same-season to give myself less of a headache. There are a few ones I missed (forgot about there being 2 Paul Phillipses). Not like we can use MLBAM ID for a Show roster!

Okay great. I'm a Pirates can so saw some big numbers for Grossman and Marte and wanted to be sure they were fair.

Totally understandable on duplicate names, just wasn't sure if I needed to do anything different like "Josh Bell - PIT" or "Josh Bell - RF" to distinguish the 2 if he did exist.

[rascoc]

Re: Made my own ratings calculator

Yangervis Solarte .279 BA
103 G
6 HR
36 RBI

Nevermind. I see Dan's post above.

[Scott]

Re: Made my own ratings calculator

AL Batting Avg Leaders
1. Pujols - .330
2. Bautista - .324
3. Cabrera - .321
4. Crisp - .317
5. Youkilis - .315
AL HR Leaders
1. Pujols - 48
2. Bautista - 42
3. Fielder - 33
4. Cano - 31
5. Encarnacion - 30
AL RBI Leaders
1. Pujols - 124
2. Cano - 112
3. Bautista - 109
4. Hamilton - 104
5. Willingham/Gordon - 103
NL Batting Leaders
1. Berkman - .330
2. Morse - .313
3. Scutaro - .312
4. Votto - .310
5. Beltran - .310
NL HR Leaders
1. Ramirez - 36
2. Votto - 33
3. Braun - 29
3. Kemp - 29
5. Beltran/Stanton/Cargo/I. Davis - 27
NL RBI Leaders
1. Ramirez - 111
2. I. Davis - 107
3. Bruce - 96
4. Braun - 95
5. Pence - 93

AL SB Leaders
1. Revere - 62--Zips projected 40.
2. Upton - 59--Zips projected 40
3. Ichiro - 40--Zips projected 35
3. Ellsbury - 40--Zips projected 48
5. Andrus - 37----Spot on what ZIPS had. Had him at 37 SB, 13 CS, was only caught 6 times.

NL SB Leaders
1. Bourn - 56--Spot on..Zips projected 56, was caught 19 times, Zips projected 13 CS.
2. Pierre - 55--Zips projected 35. (didn't edit him)
3. Gordon - 48--Zips projected 55.
4. Tabata - 40--Zips projected 26. (forgot to edit)
5. Morgan - 34--Zips projected 25.

AL Wins
1. Weaver - 21
2. CC - 18
3. Vargas - 17
4. Morrow - 17
5. Alvarez/Humber/Bard - 16

AL Saves
1. League - 61
2. Rivera - 54
3. Johnson - 53
4. Bailey - 52
5. Santos/Thornton - 47

AL ERA
1. Holland - 2.79
2. Hultzen - 2.84
3. Humber - 2.96
4. Weaver - 3.05
5. CC - 3.16

NL Wins
1. Carpenter - 18
2. Lincecum - 17
2. Wainwright - 17
2. Greinke - 17
2. Buehrle - 17

NL Saves
1. Bell - 56
2. Papelbon - 52
3. Wilson - 50
4. Street - 49
5. Motte/Axford - 48

NL ERA
1. Wainwright - 2.22
2. Daniel Hudson - 2.37
3. Collmenter - 2.59
3. Hudson - 2.59
5. Zimmermann - 2.61

Awards
AL MVP - Pujols - .330, 48 HR, 124 RBI, 124 R, .633 SLG
NL MVP - Wainwright - 17-6, 2.22 ERA, 243 SO, 66 BB, 0.99 WHIP (wow, never seen a pitcher actually win the MVP in The Show)
AL CY - Weaver - 21-3, 3.05 ERA, 206 SO, 66 BB, 1.27 WHIP
NL CY - Wainwright - 17-6, 2.22 ERA, 243 SO, 66 BB, 0.99 WHIP
AL ROTY - Darvish - 15-9, 3.53 ERA, 227 SO, 59 BB, 1.23 WHIP
NL ROTY - Lynn - 12-7, 3.58 ERA, 156 SO, 51 BB, 1.27 WHIP

Rangers Stats
Kinsler - .237, 22 HR, 80 RBI
Andrus - .263, 2 HR, 41 RBI
Hamilton - .309, 29 HR, 104 RBI
Beltre - .268, 27 HR, 98 RBI
Young - .281, 14 HR, 91 RBI
Cruz - .275, 23 HR, 76 RBI
Napoli - .298, 23 HR, 83 RBI
Murphy - .284, 14 HR, 56 RBI
Moreland - .278, 17 HR, 62 RBI
Torrealba - .322, 2 HR, 29 RBI
Gonzalez - .238, 1 HR, 26 RBI
Snyder - .204, 2 HR, 7 RBI
Gentry - .206, 1 HR, 18 RBI

Lewis - 11-9, 3.97 ERA, 184 SO, 71 BB
Holland - 13-7, 2.79 ERA, 193 SO, 90 BB
Harrison - 15-10, 4.18 ERA, 149 SO, 64 BB
Darvish - 15-9, 3.53 ERA, 227 SO, 59 BB
Feliz - 10-14, 4.62 ERA, 179 SO, 77 BB
Feldman - 0-0, 2.45 ERA, 16 SO, 15 BB
Ogando - 6-1, 2.43 ERA, 52 SO, 23 BB
Ross - 6-6, 3.28 ERA, 58 SO, 26 BB
Lowe - 2-4, 3.14 ERA, 73 SO, 24 BB
Uehara - 5-2, 4.10 ERA, 64 SO, 2 SV, 25 BB
Adams - 9-2, 2.77 ERA, 58 SO, 4 SV, 12 BB
Nathan - 0-6, 5.09 ERA, 38 SO, 42 SV, 17 BB

[rascoc]

Re: Made my own ratings calculator

Rangers Stats (zips below each player)
Kinsler - .237, 22 HR, 80 RBI
Actual Zips = .274, 23 HR, 71 RBI,

Andrus - .263, 2 HR, 41 RBI
.275, 4 HR, 50 RBI

Hamilton - .309, 29 HR, 104 RBI
.289, 23 HR, 87 RBI

Beltre - .268, 27 HR, 98 RBI
.289, 22 HR, 80 RBI

Young - .281, 14 HR, 91 RBI
.291, 14 HR, 76 RBI,

Cruz - .275, 23 HR, 76 RBI
.269, 28 HR, 82 RBI

Napoli - .298, 23 HR, 83 RBI
.272, 26 HR, 67 RBI

Murphy - .284, 14 HR, 56 RBI
.307, 7 HR, 46 RBI

Moreland - .278, 17 HR, 62 RBI
.264, 17 HR, 68 RBI

[The Kid 24]

Re: Made my own ratings calculator

What does Clutch affect?

The only thing I'm editing for players is RT/LT Contact & RT/LT Power... Will I still have accurate HR/RBI's totals for players w/o editing the Clutch rating?

[Scott]

Re: Made my own ratings calculator

Rangers Stats (zips below each player)
Kinsler - .237, 22 HR, 80 RBI
Actual Zips = .274, 23 HR, 71 RBI,

Andrus - .263, 2 HR, 41 RBI
.275, 4 HR, 50 RBI

Hamilton - .309, 29 HR, 104 RBI
.289, 23 HR, 87 RBI

Beltre - .268, 27 HR, 98 RBI
.289, 22 HR, 80 RBI

Young - .281, 14 HR, 91 RBI
.291, 14 HR, 76 RBI,

Cruz - .275, 23 HR, 76 RBI
.269, 28 HR, 82 RBI

Napoli - .298, 23 HR, 83 RBI
.272, 26 HR, 67 RBI

Murphy - .284, 14 HR, 56 RBI
.307, 7 HR, 46 RBI

Moreland - .278, 17 HR, 62 RBI
.264, 17 HR, 68 RBI

Looks pretty accurate

[rascoc]

Re: Made my own ratings calculator

I would edit the clutch, too. it is on the calculator. I wish there was a way to figure clutch for Pitchers. Any guesses?

[seanjeezy]

Re: Made my own ratings calculator

I would edit the clutch, too. it is on the calculator. I wish there was a way to figure clutch for Pitchers. Any guesses?

Last year I used LOB% +/- 8 (can't remember which), if you look at the current clutch ratings and add/subtract 8, it is close to their real life %'s. Obviously this doesn't apply to guys who are still progressing, since their ratings are stunted in the first place.

[DeathMetal]

Re: Made my own ratings calculator

I would edit the clutch, too. it is on the calculator. I wish there was a way to figure clutch for Pitchers. Any guesses?

ERA with RISP? Heh i dont know, is that even tracked?

[ksig24]

Re: Made my own ratings calculator

Looks pretty accurate

Are we going to see a roster with these edits in the vault?