This is where I'm at with my Eugene prediction. He made amends with Abraham, he gave the bullet recipe to Rick, he already basically sacrificed himself as a decoy. So a pounding by the bat will just be a different means to his end.
Plus, the "take it like a champ" comment. You would expect a tough guy like Daryl or even Glenn to eat it. But Eugene would be a surprise all around. Besides, Negan wants Rick's group to essentially work for him. He can't take out anyone seemingly important. If he knew Eugene was sent as a decoy-sacrifice, he knows he isn't useful enough to keep around.
The more I think about it the more it seems pretty clear. Daryl is shot and beat up. Glenn had his little outburst and didn't immediately catch one. Rick and Carl seem safe. It would have to be a complete surprise like Sasha or Rosita if it isn't Eugene. I'm confident Michonne is safe and same for Abraham (with his "bring it!" chest puffing). Only leaves a few candidates.
I'll be sick if it's Maggie but she could be the surprise. Everyone talks about Daryl because Norman Reedus is a popular actor but Lauren Cohan (actress) seems to be gaining some traction outside of TWD.
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