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Originally Posted by Splodem |
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Well I haven't had a chance to check out everything, but Oscar Taveras an 83 really jumps out (Pretty sure he's a right fielder too, unless that changed). I tend to go by MLB.com's 2013 prospect rankings, and by that Jurickson Profar is pretty much the best prospect in baseball. Doesn't mean he's the highest rated by any means, but each player is graded on things such as power, speed, fielding and so forth, so you can kinda get a feel where most of these players should be when stacked up against players they rank on that list that are already in the game (Profar, Olt and a few others). I'd say the top guys like Taveras and Myers should be around 78 max, but lower most likely. I actually made those guys and a few others and posted them in the vault already. Same as my screen name when looking for them.
I think the contact and power ratings on some of these guys are way too high. And Billy Hamilton I feel deserves a little more power, a little less contact. And Danny Hultzen an 80? No way. Dylan Bundy has the distinction of being the best pitching prospect, so there's your cutoff for any pitching prospects, period. I wouldn't even put Hultzen that far ahead of Taijuan Walker, if at all to be honest.
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Since the Mariners are my team and I did the ratings I guess I'll do the explaining:
IMO Profar and Bundy should be higher, boost Profar's contact to the mid-60's (which would correspond to a ~.265 AVG on Knight's charts) and he's an 83, boost Bundy's control and BB/9 and give him proper pitch edits and he's an 83 as well...
For Hultzen you really need to look at the sum of his parts. If it wasn't for the command issue at AAA (which I believe to be a blip on the radar based on his track record and what he did this spring) he would be a top 10 pitcher, maybe even a top 10 prospect. I also used a combination of ZiPS/Oliver/Steamer/whatever else is on Fangraphs and my personal knowledge and intuition to rate the M's system, so if someone seems high then you're probably underrating them and vice versa.