NFL Gambling Thread

[kehlis]

Post your bets, great wins, tough beats and everything else here.

(CC: Cima)

[cima]

I felt really good about my picks last week and to get all but one right was tough and I don't feel good about replicating that success this week. Much harder picks this week and I'm extremely conflicted on Cin/Bal. Y'all non-Ravens/Bengals fans, who do you got in that game?

[cima]

Tonight's game is so ****ed, lol. Right now the money line is -105 Denver and -115 Cleveland. All these injuries so no one knows who to bet on, lol.

[cima]

Not sure how many parlays I'm going to do this week. I feel 90% confident about this 4-leg parlay for the afternoon games.


Rams
Raiders
Cardinals
Bucs
All Money line, it's +124 odds.



Raiders is the only question mark...I could see Eagles with the upset win. The other 3 are locks IMO.

[cima]

Debating on tonight's game. Here's my 2 choices:


DEN +1 (-110)
Under 40.5 (-110)


Putting $120 on the line. If I parlay it, +264 odds with a $364.46 payout.


If I 6-point teaser it, -120 odds with a $220 payout while moving the odds to +7 Denver and U 46.5.

[slickdtc]

Cardinals by 17.5 is a tough one. Texans have been blown out twice but the other 4 have been closer. Cards are a high flyer but a 3-score win for any team is a tough ask.

I’m not a bettor (just a sower of doubt to my friends who are heavily in the game), but the lines on some of these games seem very high. We got a lot of lopsided scores last week and it feels like they’re playing off that recency bias. I’m not buying.

I like the Eagles over the Raiders in a straight “upset.” I don’t believe in LV at all even after righting the ship against DEN, who are probably closer to mediocre then good.

[cima]

Quote: Originally Posted by slickdtc

Cardinals by 17.5 is a tough one. Texans have been blown out twice but the other 4 have been closer. Cards are a high flyer but a 3-score win for any team is a tough ask. I’m not a bettor (just a sower of doubt to my friends who are heavily in the game), but the lines on some of these games seem very high. We got a lot of lopsided scores last week and it feels like they’re playing off that recency bias. I’m not buying. I like the Eagles over the Raiders in a straight “upset.” I don’t believe in LV at all even after righting the ship against DEN, who are probably closer to mediocre then good.

I think I read this past week was like the worst week for bookies in 35+ years or something so they're gonna try and right the ship this week.

[IlluminatusUIUC]

Fanduel has Derrick Henry to lead the league in rushing tds at -140. Now, -140 is a lot of vig and that's a long time to tie up your money, but Henry has double the rushing tds of the next guy (10 to 5). He could miss a month of games and still win that bet. What am I missing?