Josh Hamilton vs. Matt Kemp

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  • bkrich83
    Has Been
    • Jul 2002
    • 71582

    #31
    Re: Josh Hamilton vs. Matt Kemp

    Originally posted by DieHardYankee26
    Yeah I think the ballpark argument is moot here. When you're hitting the ball 420+ feet, it doesn't matter what park you're in.
    Agreed, although their park is a joke.
    Tracking my NCAA Coach Career

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    • Coug00
      LOB
      • Jul 2002
      • 3476

      #32
      Re: Josh Hamilton vs. Matt Kemp

      Originally posted by Perfect Zero
      Sweet Lord of Mercy I get tired of this ****. You want to see what Hamilton does outside of the Ballpark in Arlington? .433/.494/.970 with 11 home runs and 27 RBI. It's not like the Rangers only produce runs because the air makes the ball travel here; they produce everywhere.
      Nice sample size of 6 weeks. If you take his career OPS its over 100 points higher at home than on the road. Statistically, Arlington inflates HR's for lefties by 20% and triples by 67% (Hamilton just so happens to have 2.5 times as many triples at home than on the road). Its not Hamilton's fault he plays in a ballpark that assists the hitters more than any other in baseball, but the numbers don't lie.

      Edit:
      Rangers 2011 - 42 more HR's at home, OPS of .120 points higher
      2010 - 34 more HR's at home, OPS of .086 points higher
      2009 - 20 more HR's at home, OPS of .101 points higher
      2008 - 20 more HR's at home, OPS of .100 points higher
      Last edited by Coug00; 05-15-2012, 11:11 PM.
      Member of The OS Baseball Rocket Scientists Association

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      • bkrich83
        Has Been
        • Jul 2002
        • 71582

        #33
        Originally posted by Coug00
        Nice sample size of 6 weeks. If you take his career OPS its over 100 points higher at home than on the road. Statistically, Arlington inflates HR's for lefties by 20% and triples by 67% (Hamilton just so happens to have 2.5 times as many triples at home than on the road). Its not Hamilton's fault he plays in a ballpark that assists the hitters more than any other in baseball, but the numbers don't lie.

        Edit:
        Rangers 2011 - 42 more HR's at home, OPS of .120 points higher
        2010 - 34 more HR's at home, OPS of .086 points higher
        2009 - 20 more HR's at home, OPS of .101 points higher
        2008 - 20 more HR's at home, OPS of .100 points higher
        Not to mention his sample doesn't take in to account the fact the weather hasn't started to heat up there like it will in 30 days or so. Not only affects ball flight but pitchers fatigue that much faster.

        There's no disputing it's a hitter friendly park.
        Tracking my NCAA Coach Career

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        • Coug00
          LOB
          • Jul 2002
          • 3476

          #34
          Re: Josh Hamilton vs. Matt Kemp

          Originally posted by bkrich83
          Not to mention his sample doesn't take in to account the fact the weather hasn't started to heat up there like it will in 30 days or so. Not only affects ball flight but pitchers fatigue that much faster.

          There's no disputing it's a hitter friendly park.
          Exactly. My original comment was more of a comparison of where Hamilton & Kemp play half their games, it wasn't a knock against the Rangers. Dodger Stadium, at least for righties, is the antithesis of Rangers BP. Cookie cutter outfield, difficult for righties to hit the ball out, not many opportunities for extra basehits, etc. If Kemp were on the Rangers, you could argue his slugging would increase by 10-15% over the course of a season.
          Member of The OS Baseball Rocket Scientists Association

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          • bkrich83
            Has Been
            • Jul 2002
            • 71582

            #35
            Originally posted by Coug00
            Exactly. My original comment was more of a comparison of where Hamilton & Kemp play half their games, it wasn't a knock against the Rangers. Dodger Stadium, at least for righties, is the antithesis of Rangers BP. Cookie cutter outfield, difficult for righties to hit the ball out, not many opportunities for extra basehits, etc. If Kemp were on the Rangers, you could argue his slugging would increase by 10-15% over the course of a season.
            I don't know if you've ever been to Chavez Ravine, but the ball just doesn't carry there.
            Tracking my NCAA Coach Career

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            • ZB9
              Hall Of Fame
              • Nov 2004
              • 18387

              #36
              Re: Josh Hamilton vs. Matt Kemp

              not surprised that Kemp's winning, but didnt figure it would be by such a margin

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              • ZB9
                Hall Of Fame
                • Nov 2004
                • 18387

                #37
                Re: Josh Hamilton vs. Matt Kemp

                Originally posted by bkrich83
                Not to mention his sample doesn't take in to account the fact the weather hasn't started to heat up there like it will in 30 days or so. Not only affects ball flight but pitchers fatigue that much faster.
                playing in an oven means that position players fatigue faster as well, not just the pitchers

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                • DonkeyJote
                  All Star
                  • Jul 2003
                  • 9187

                  #38
                  Originally posted by ZB9
                  playing in an oven means that position players fatigue faster as well, not just the pitchers
                  Not at nearly the rate, though (except for catchers). A pitcher is constantly doing something out there. A position player will have a handful of action a game. It certainly affects pitchers more, plus the ball carries so well (unlike Dodger Stadium, where the ball dies at night).

                  Sent from my SCH-I500 using Tapatalk

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                  • Gibbz
                    All Star
                    • Aug 2005
                    • 8240

                    #39
                    Re: Josh Hamilton vs. Matt Kemp

                    Matt Kemp has had a higher WAR than Josh Hamilton only one time, has a much lower career OPS, and is horrendous defensively. I realize I'm biased for Texas, but unless it's strictly based on injuries I don't know how the poll could be so one-sided.

                    #justsayin

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                    • bkrich83
                      Has Been
                      • Jul 2002
                      • 71582

                      #40
                      Re: Josh Hamilton vs. Matt Kemp

                      Originally posted by ZB9
                      playing in an oven means that position players fatigue faster as well, not just the pitchers
                      Impact isn't nearly the same. It can not be argued that playing in that park is not beneficial to hitters.
                      Tracking my NCAA Coach Career

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                      • ZB9
                        Hall Of Fame
                        • Nov 2004
                        • 18387

                        #41
                        Re: Josh Hamilton vs. Matt Kemp

                        Originally posted by DonkeyJote
                        Not at nearly the rate, though (except for catchers). A pitcher is constantly doing something out there. A position player will have a handful of action a game. It certainly affects pitchers more, plus the ball carries so well (unlike Dodger Stadium, where the ball dies at night).

                        Sent from my SCH-I500 using Tapatalk
                        Playing in an oven during most of the summer can be quite a grind and absolutely wears down position players' stamina. Of course it does.

                        You living in Bellingham (beautiful place, i have a sister living up there), i wouldnt guess that you understand how brutal the heat gets in north Texas during the summer. It's the reason why Tom Landry and Tex Schramm smartly moved the Cowboys' training camp to southern California.
                        Last edited by ZB9; 05-16-2012, 01:37 PM.

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                        • snepp
                          We'll waste him too.
                          • Apr 2003
                          • 10007

                          #42
                          Re: Josh Hamilton vs. Matt Kemp

                          Ok, so the heat wears them down...

                          But the point remains, the offensive benefits of playing in Texas are enormous, this cannot be disputed.
                          Member of The OS Baseball Rocket Scientists Association

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                          • Coug00
                            LOB
                            • Jul 2002
                            • 3476

                            #43
                            Originally posted by Gibbz
                            Matt Kemp has had a higher WAR than Josh Hamilton only one time, has a much lower career OPS, and is horrendous defensively. I realize I'm biased for Texas, but unless it's strictly based on injuries I don't know how the poll could be so one-sided.

                            #justsayin
                            I count two seasons with a higher WAR. OPS isn't park adjusted, its easily skewed. You could stick Hamilton on the A's and he would suffer a serious, serious impact to his OPS playing in that flyball mausoleum for 81 games/year. WAR would adjust for that home park difference.

                            The other factor is youth. Kemp is 3.5 years younger. Theoretically, he hasn't even hit his prime and he's pulling in 8+ WAR seasons. Hamilton is about to be 31.
                            Member of The OS Baseball Rocket Scientists Association

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                            • ZB9
                              Hall Of Fame
                              • Nov 2004
                              • 18387

                              #44
                              Re: Josh Hamilton vs. Matt Kemp

                              Originally posted by bkrich83
                              Impact isn't nearly the same.It can not be argued that playing in that park is not beneficial to hitters.
                              The impact is different but the heat obviously has an impact on position players' stamina during the grind, not just pitchers every fifth day

                              Anyway, it is certainly a hitters park, that is true

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                              • Sportsforever
                                NL MVP
                                • Mar 2005
                                • 20368

                                #45
                                Re: Josh Hamilton vs. Matt Kemp

                                I love Matt Kemp, but at this point the only thing he has over Hamilton is age and durability. Those are two HUGE things, however, and I believe if all 30 GM's were polled they would take Kemp over Hamilton based on those two factors. All the talk about ballparks, etc, can be resolved by looking at OPS+ (which adjusts for those types of things) and you see that when he's played, Hamilton has out performed Kemp.
                                "People ask me what I do in winter when there's no baseball. I'll tell you what I do. I stare out the window and wait for spring." - Rogers Hornsby

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