I rewatched the fight another 4 times last night and tonight.
After watching it live with Rogan's biased commentary, I had Rua winning 3 rounds to 2.
But after really studying the fight, It's either a machida win or a draw if you're strictly basing this fight on a 10 point must system. Let me explain......
The first 3 rounds, Machida EEKED them out. i mean barely won with the 3rd being his most decisive.
The 2nd round is the closest and this coulda been called a 10-10 round or 10-9 machida.
The last 2 rounds CLEARLY belonged to Shogun. Machida gassed, moved much slower got hit more, and Shogun didn't eek these last 2 , he won them outright.
That's why I believe fans were upset, Shogun won the big war, but that's not how the fight is judged. Shogun winning the last 2 rounds also left the most impression on the fans. Also the cuts, the immobility of Machida gave the impression that Shogun was getting the better of him.
If this was a street fight, Shogun won hands down because he came out in better shape, was on the verge of dominating Machida.
But since it is a 10 point system, the refs' decisions don't seem too bad. I have it as a draw or a slight machida win with the UFC rules, and a clear Shogun win with Pride/street fight rules. if there was a round 6, my money is on Shogun to put Machida to sleep based on how that fight was going.
If I was the UFC ruler ,
My scoring would be:
Round 1: 20-19 Machida
Round 2: 20-19 Machida
Round 3: 20-19 Machida
Round 4: 20-17 Rua
Round 5: 20-17 Rua
Rua wins 97-94
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