Rookie
OVR: 6
Join Date: May 2012
Location: Decatur, GA
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Re: Pregame suggestion to bench your catcher for calling a bad game?
So I've been keeping up with this, still haven't seen the message myself, but this whole thing has gotten me to thinking about how the catchers call the games. I guess all along I've been going about 50/50, essentially using the catcher's call as a suggestion; I'll usually use it for the first pitch, not nec. location but just let the catcher decide when to bust out that first pitch breaking ball strike, etc., but the deeper I go into the ab, and into the game, the more I'll start looking at hot/cold zones, pitch history, etc., and making my own decisions. So I'm guessing 50/50, and though I've had moments where I have said both "Man, that is a really bad idea"--catcher calling for a 3rd consec high fb vs. ARod, for instance-- AND "hey, that's a good idea"--when the catcher calls for a pitch and or location that actually breaks ME out of a bad pattern, like... trying to throw 3 straight high fbs past ARod.
Anyway, to be more relevant, I have just decided I'm going to just let the catcher call my games for me for a while, see how that goes, see if I can determine any real differences between the catchers. I'm currently playing one, simming five, with both the Cubs & Angels, in the same universe; so that gives me, at this point, David Ross & Hank Conger w the Angels, and Steve Clevenger & a rookie I drafted in 2012 and is already up and producing in June 2013 on the Cubs. Now, to be just slightly scientific, my opening hypothesis is that I should pitch better when pitching to Ross, a career backup, essentially, who is my 3/4 time starter with the Angels, than to Conger, a younger guy who is unproven. Similarly, I should pitch a better game on the Cubs with Clevenger calling the game than a rookie drafted essentially one calendar year ago who is mostly up in the bigs already because he can hit & run the bases (and Wellington Castillo was hitting .155 through May). Just an opening hypothesis, and I don't know how scientific I'll end up being, but I'm tracking stats for a variety of other reasons, no problem adding a small "how the catcher called the game" procedure.
Actually started last night, so just anecdotal at this point, but I actually did let the catchers call the whole games: Cubs won 4-1, CG, 3 hitter on slightly over 100 pitches by Derek Holland (picked him up recently and have not had much luck with him until this game), game called by the rookie good hitting catcher. Hmmmm. Angels won 5-4, Dan Haren was pitching a gem until giving up a late 3 run homer in the 8th (to David Ortiz, I think, who had already hit one and I really should have put a lefty in to face him, thought Haren had one more out in him...) to tie at 4-4 then Angels won in the 9th, game called by Conger, and if you take away the Ortiz HR, which was plausibly a bad decision by the manager (me), he didn't call a bad game. So, anecdotaly, so far, the guys I expected to not call good games actually did call good games. Next games I play will be with Ross & Clevenger, so then I'll at least have one full game each to begin comparing. I could go look at past box scores, but as we've learned, the stats tracked are very limited--no passed balls, also no pitch counts, much less pitch breakdowns.
So, whatever other angle anyone else takes on this, I'm going to head down this road and I'll report in as I build up some data and maybe we'll see some trends. One final thing: the idea I have that Ross & Clevenger should call better games is VERY unscientific; it's basically going on the, if you are older & more experienced, you will call a better game idea, which is kind of facile. But, that's where I'm starting from.
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