Cubs Player Potential Discussion: 2013 OSFM roster

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  • MrOldboy
    MVP
    • Feb 2011
    • 2653

    #481
    Re: Cubs Player Potential Discussion: 2013 OSFM roster

    Originally posted by skow05
    MrOldBoy - Did you ever get a chance to re-do BJax and Vitters with lowered potential?
    I have them remade but no ratings yet, authentic made faces last year so I can redo those.

    Comment

    • JoeCoolMan24
      MVP
      • Jul 2005
      • 1255

      #482
      Re: Cubs Player Potential Discussion: 2013 OSFM roster

      Originally posted by Denzel Washington
      You're the one who knows nothing
      The cubs are being ranked as high as 5 and as low as 8
      Your opinion is not the end all be all judgement
      If you don't like it edit it the way you see fit and stop acting like a pompous prick
      Yeah dude, the Cubs are totally a top 5 system....





      Oh wait.

      Signed,
      The dude who knows nothing

      Comment

      • yanksdaniel99
        MVP
        • Jun 2011
        • 1185

        #483
        Re: Cubs Player Potential Discussion: 2013 OSFM roster

        Originally posted by MrOldboy
        That's about exactly what I had in mind. I had Baez at 75 in my original file, but ridin dropped him which i believe will be fixed in the next updates. In my sims Almora did end up increasing to an A- so he should get dropped a bit as well.
        Yea, don't worry, I've run plenty of sims, your perfectly fine. Lot of other teams need to bump their specs up to that range. I don't know how many times I've said it but if you want your top prospects to fully progress, they can't be less then 60.

        Comment

        • MrOldboy
          MVP
          • Feb 2011
          • 2653

          #484
          Re: Cubs Player Potential Discussion: 2013 OSFM roster

          Originally posted by yanksdaniel99
          Yea, don't worry, I've run plenty of sims, your perfectly fine. Lot of other teams need to bump their specs up to that range. I don't know how many times I've said it but if you want your top prospects to fully progress, they can't be less then 60.
          I think so as well, I originally had soler and baez around the upper 60s, but then remembered your post about having A players in the mid 70s range to get full progression.

          This is the sim I posted a while back. Training was auto. I dropped a few guys down for the final roster, so soler and baez are at 76 in this sim. But I don't think its unreasonable for them to reach their potential by ages 25-26. With Almora geeting increased to an A- in sims dropping him a bit more should make his progression a year behind soler and baez's. In this sim he was raised to an A- and his progression looks about the same as theirs, one more sim year and he'd be in the 90s.

          https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/...OdTIzWUE#gid=0

          Do you think any of the pitchers should be raised or lowered at all? Mainly Johnson and Maples. Is that reasonable for them to be at their potential by ages 26 and 25, one year past what I simmed here?

          I just got back, but I'll post up a list later of who I've started on for additional players. Jackson and Vitters are definitely there, but if anyone has preference of who they want made post them. I don't want to do too many since I'd like for them to be complete with faces so we'll need to get help for the faces when the time comes.

          I'll also make adjustments on the ratings, mainly Soler, Baez and Almora that Yanks posted and post that to the vault so you can import them into your OSFM roster for franchise or whatever to hold you over until the next OSFM updates. I might also enter in seanjeezys pitch edits, unless there is an OSFM base with this already since I'll want this for myself for franchise anyways.

          Comment

          • JoeCoolMan24
            MVP
            • Jul 2005
            • 1255

            #485
            Re: Cubs Player Potential Discussion: 2013 OSFM roster

            Originally posted by yanksdaniel99
            Yea, don't worry, I've run plenty of sims, your perfectly fine. Lot of other teams need to bump their specs up to that range. I don't know how many times I've said it but if you want your top prospects to fully progress, they can't be less then 60.
            Well if that's the case, then I think my beef should be more directed towards the guy who made the White Sox prospects, because our top guys are in the 52-58 range right now.

            Comment

            • yanksdaniel99
              MVP
              • Jun 2011
              • 1185

              #486
              Re: Cubs Player Potential Discussion: 2013 OSFM roster

              Originally posted by JoeCoolMan24
              Well if that's the case, then I think my beef should be more directed towards the guy who made the White Sox prospects, because our top guys are in the 52-58 range right now.
              You shouldn't have beef with anyone, different guys have different opinions on when players will hit their prime.

              Personally I use 25/26 as the "prime age". No rhyme or reason, no scientific data to back up whether or not that's true to real life. My thinking is basically, at 25/26, you know who a player is and what he's capable of doing. Maybe his best statistical season won't be that year, but he'll be at that plateau you've set him for with ratings.

              Basically if a guy has a potential set to a 95ish, I don't want him to be an 80 at age 25, I want him to be in the 85-90 range and if that causes his future overall to increase to a 97, so be it.

              Players typically gain 3-4 overall points a year, up until age 28-30 or so when they hit their potential.

              Take Baez for example, he's 20, so with 8 years of progression left, he'll gain 21-25 points roughly. That puts him on pace for a 95-99, maybe he'll hit that 99 a little early but by age 25, he'll be an 88-90 or so, exactly where I want him.

              For the White Sox, I have Hawkins at a 63 & Sanchez at a 67, based on the rerates done so far.

              Comment

              • yanksdaniel99
                MVP
                • Jun 2011
                • 1185

                #487
                Re: Cubs Player Potential Discussion: 2013 OSFM roster

                Originally posted by MrOldboy
                I think so as well, I originally had soler and baez around the upper 60s, but then remembered your post about having A players in the mid 70s range to get full progression.

                This is the sim I posted a while back. Training was auto. I dropped a few guys down for the final roster, so soler and baez are at 76 in this sim. But I don't think its unreasonable for them to reach their potential by ages 25-26. With Almora geeting increased to an A- in sims dropping him a bit more should make his progression a year behind soler and baez's. In this sim he was raised to an A- and his progression looks about the same as theirs, one more sim year and he'd be in the 90s.

                https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/...OdTIzWUE#gid=0

                Do you think any of the pitchers should be raised or lowered at all? Mainly Johnson and Maples. Is that reasonable for them to be at their potential by ages 26 and 25, one year past what I simmed here?

                I just got back, but I'll post up a list later of who I've started on for additional players. Jackson and Vitters are definitely there, but if anyone has preference of who they want made post them. I don't want to do too many since I'd like for them to be complete with faces so we'll need to get help for the faces when the time comes.

                I'll also make adjustments on the ratings, mainly Soler, Baez and Almora that Yanks posted and post that to the vault so you can import them into your OSFM roster for franchise or whatever to hold you over until the next OSFM updates. I might also enter in seanjeezys pitch edits, unless there is an OSFM base with this already since I'll want this for myself for franchise anyways.
                Johnson looks good. Maples is a tough call considering there's such a small sample size on him. It's certainly possible. Honestly a scenario where he develops, that's where he should be at. Whether he actually follows that course in real life, that's the million dollar question.

                Comment

                • Denzel Washington
                  Rookie
                  • Mar 2013
                  • 406

                  #488
                  Re: Cubs Player Potential Discussion: 2013 OSFM roster

                  Originally posted by JoeCoolMan24

                  I'll take keith law's word over whoever Jason Parks is

                  Comment

                  • hjgilber
                    Javier Baez Fan Club
                    • Mar 2012
                    • 263

                    #489
                    Re: Cubs Player Potential Discussion: 2013 OSFM roster

                    Originally posted by Denzel Washington
                    http://www.mlbdailydish.com/2013/2/4...B-farm-systems
                    I'll take keith law's word over whoever Jason Parks is
                    Both Parks and Law are very good, but the point is that the Cubs are somewhere in the 5-10 range, so the way the farm was rated isn't ridiculous.

                    Comment

                    • Denzel Washington
                      Rookie
                      • Mar 2013
                      • 406

                      #490
                      Re: Cubs Player Potential Discussion: 2013 OSFM roster

                      Originally posted by hjgilber
                      Both Parks and Law are very good, but the point is that the Cubs are somewhere in the 5-10 range, so the way the farm was rated isn't ridiculous.
                      I've never heard of parks so I wouldn't know
                      Law has been rough on the cubs farm since forever
                      Him saying they have a top 5 farm really speaks volumes about how far they've come
                      I can only see it going up seeing as how we have the 2nd overall pick

                      Comment

                      • hjgilber
                        Javier Baez Fan Club
                        • Mar 2012
                        • 263

                        #491
                        Re: Cubs Player Potential Discussion: 2013 OSFM roster

                        Originally posted by Denzel Washington
                        I've never heard of parks so I wouldn't know
                        Law has been rough on the cubs farm since forever
                        Him saying they have a top 5 farm really speaks volumes about how far they've come
                        I can only see it going up seeing as how we have the 2nd overall pick
                        This is very true.

                        Law has a hard on for Javier Baez, so that's probably part of why he ranked us 5th.

                        Comment

                        • Mo
                          SSN
                          • May 2003
                          • 11425

                          #492
                          Re: Cubs Player Potential Discussion: 2013 OSFM roster

                          Originally posted by MrOldboy
                          Do you think any of the pitchers should be raised or lowered at all? Mainly Johnson and Maples. Is that reasonable for them to be at their potential by ages 26 and 25, one year past what I simmed here?

                          I just got back, but I'll post up a list later of who I've started on for additional players. Jackson and Vitters are definitely there, but if anyone has preference of who they want made post them. I don't want to do too many since I'd like for them to be complete with faces so we'll need to get help for the faces when the time comes.

                          I'll also make adjustments on the ratings, mainly Soler, Baez and Almora that Yanks posted and post that to the vault so you can import them into your OSFM roster for franchise or whatever to hold you over until the next OSFM updates. I might also enter in seanjeezys pitch edits, unless there is an OSFM base with this already since I'll want this for myself for franchise anyways.
                          If you're adding players, gonna throw some names out there, obviously there isn't room for all of them or probably any of them.

                          I think most of these guys are in A-Ball

                          Rock Shoulders
                          Zeke Devoss
                          Taiwan Easterling
                          Reggie Golden

                          Also, Awesome work so far, man.
                          Don't you EVER read my blog? It's gotten a lot better.

                          Comment

                          • JoeCoolMan24
                            MVP
                            • Jul 2005
                            • 1255

                            #493
                            Re: Cubs Player Potential Discussion: 2013 OSFM roster

                            Originally posted by Denzel Washington
                            http://www.mlbdailydish.com/2013/2/4...B-farm-systems
                            I'll take keith law's word over whoever Jason Parks is
                            You trust Keith Law, the laughing stock of the "prospect guys" over Baseball America and Baseball Prospectus rankings???



                            Oooh boy.....this is all starting to make sense now.

                            Comment

                            • skow05
                              Pro
                              • Aug 2008
                              • 500

                              #494
                              Re: Cubs Player Potential Discussion: 2013 OSFM roster

                              Originally posted by JoeCoolMan24
                              You trust Keith Law, the laughing stock of the "prospect guys" over Baseball America and Baseball Prospectus rankings???



                              Oooh boy.....this is all starting to make sense now.
                              What's your deal man? You're nitpicking about the ratings of three of the top 50 prospects in baseball. If you have a problem with it then re-rate them to your liking, or make Keon Barnum a 99 overall. Whatever you need to do to please yourself, just do it already.
                              Cubs
                              UofM

                              Cowboys

                              Knicks
                              PSN - Skow

                              Comment

                              • JoeCoolMan24
                                MVP
                                • Jul 2005
                                • 1255

                                #495
                                Re: Cubs Player Potential Discussion: 2013 OSFM roster

                                Originally posted by skow05
                                What's your deal man? You're nitpicking about the ratings of three of the top 50 prospects in baseball. If you have a problem with it then re-rate them to your liking, or make Keon Barnum a 99 overall. Whatever you need to do to please yourself, just do it already.
                                Keon Barnum a 99? You seem to forget I am striving for realism, not boosting my prospects for my favorite team. *cough cough*.

                                I am just trying to help the community and fans of other teams by giving an outside opinion on players I don't have emotional interest in. Sometimes it's hard to rate players you want to succeed fairly.

                                Either way, I am going to sim 3-4 years w/ these rosters just to find out how these guys turn out, and then make decision from there on how I want to tinker w/ the ratings. If it turns out these guys are getting to be high 80's-low 90's by the time they reach ages 26-29, then fine I'll know I need to boost some Sox 'spects, but if they are becoming superstar 90+ rated guys by age 23, then there is an obvious problem.

                                I'll let you know what I find.

                                Comment

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