2013 Toronto Blue Jays

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  • Redacted01
    Hall Of Fame
    • Aug 2007
    • 10316

    #346
    Re: 2013 Toronto Blue Jays

    Originally posted by ACMilan99
    Meh, I'm all for statistics, but I think there was some science that backed this up.

    Speaking of Dickey, check out what a guy I know did on the true Dickey effect.

    http://www.fangraphs.com/community/t...dickey-effect/
    I actually got it mixed up in the original post. He has pitched fine outside in other places so that pitching in Toronto open or closed isn't going to have a major difference. The ball does carry more when the roof is open, but it won't have any more of a significant effect than it does for any pitcher on Toronto. He pitched outdoors all last year in New York after all.

    Comment

    • AC
      Win the East
      • Sep 2010
      • 14951

      #347
      Re: 2013 Toronto Blue Jays

      Originally posted by dochalladay32
      I actually got it mixed up in the original post. He has pitched fine outside in other places so that pitching in Toronto open or closed isn't going to have a major difference. The ball does carry more when the roof is open, but it won't have any more of a significant effect than it does for any pitcher on Toronto. He pitched outdoors all last year in New York after all.
      League Mean FB%: 34.7 %
      Blue Jays Mean FB%: 36.2 %
      Blue Jays Park Factor: ~1.1 (4th in the league as per ESPN)

      R.A. Dickey FB%: 38.6 %

      Dickey pitches more fly balls in a high run scoring environment impacted by an open roof. It won't affect him any more than it will any other pitcher, but it's more likely to affect him as he pitches more fly balls. This is supported by a 13.1% HR/FB%, up from his career mean of 11.2%. (FB = fly ball, HR = Home run)

      TL;DR he's a fly-ball pitcher so the ball carrying is going to happen to him a lot.


      Lmao, remember Dr. Zaun's jetstreams theory?
      "Twelve at-bats is a pretty decent sample size." - Eric Byrnes

      Comment

      • Redacted01
        Hall Of Fame
        • Aug 2007
        • 10316

        #348
        Re: 2013 Toronto Blue Jays

        RA Dickey's FB% last year: 34.1%
        2011: 32.9%

        It's more of him giving up more flyballs. If he pitches more like we were expecting, problem solved. Being in the AL will make that harder...

        Comment

        • AC
          Win the East
          • Sep 2010
          • 14951

          #349
          Re: 2013 Toronto Blue Jays

          Originally posted by dochalladay32
          RA Dickey's FB% last year: 34.1%
          2011: 32.9%

          It's more of him giving up more flyballs. If he pitches more like we were expecting, problem solved. Being in the AL will make that harder...
          Yeah, exactly, last year this wouldn't have been as much of a problem. But this year it is as he's turning into a fly ball pitcher, and he's giving up more homers as a result.
          "Twelve at-bats is a pretty decent sample size." - Eric Byrnes

          Comment

          • AC
            Win the East
            • Sep 2010
            • 14951

            #350
            Re: 2013 Toronto Blue Jays

            Blue Jays sign Ramon Hernandez. Great depth move. Assigned to AAA Buffalo.
            "Twelve at-bats is a pretty decent sample size." - Eric Byrnes

            Comment

            • bad_philanthropy
              MVP
              • Jul 2005
              • 12167

              #351
              Re: 2013 Toronto Blue Jays

              I just wish JPA could be replaced somehow or at least put in the nine spot. He just makes me sad.

              Comment

              • AC
                Win the East
                • Sep 2010
                • 14951

                #352
                Re: 2013 Toronto Blue Jays

                Lmao, 2 infield pop ups and a K with the bases loaded and down by two. Pathetic.
                "Twelve at-bats is a pretty decent sample size." - Eric Byrnes

                Comment

                • SPTO
                  binging
                  • Feb 2003
                  • 68046

                  #353
                  Re: 2013 Toronto Blue Jays

                  So I didn't watch the game as I was busy today but um, WTF was Juan Perez doing pitching in the 9th inning of a tied game?! I realize Thole committed the fatal error but still....I don't exactly have confidence in Perez in a highly stressed situation like that.

                  Oh well......
                  Member of the Official OS Bills Backers Club

                  "Baseball is the most important thing that doesn't matter at all" - Robert B. Parker

                  Comment

                  • AC
                    Win the East
                    • Sep 2010
                    • 14951

                    #354
                    Re: 2013 Toronto Blue Jays



                    The roof IS closed for Dickey's start, which amazes me, but yay no sitting in the 4000000000000 degree sun for me!
                    "Twelve at-bats is a pretty decent sample size." - Eric Byrnes

                    Comment

                    • AC
                      Win the East
                      • Sep 2010
                      • 14951

                      #355
                      Re: 2013 Toronto Blue Jays

                      Blue Jays GM Alex Anthopoulos watched Cuban right-hander Miguel Alfredo Gonzalez pitch on Friday in Tijuana, Bob Elliott of the Toronto Sun reports (Twitter link). The Jays made a high-profile signing out of Cuba three years ago when they signed shortstop Adeiny Hechavarria to a four-year, $10MM contract.

                      “I am positive he’s the best prospect I’ve seen in (more than a decade) of full-time scouting,” a National League …


                      PLEASE PLEASE PLEASE
                      "Twelve at-bats is a pretty decent sample size." - Eric Byrnes

                      Comment

                      • Redacted01
                        Hall Of Fame
                        • Aug 2007
                        • 10316

                        #356
                        Re: 2013 Toronto Blue Jays

                        Originally posted by ACMilan99
                        http://www.istheroofopen.com/toronto

                        The roof IS closed for Dickey's start, which amazes me, but yay no sitting in the 4000000000000 degree sun for me!
                        What sun lol. The weather says 75, cloudy, and rainy.

                        Comment

                        • AC
                          Win the East
                          • Sep 2010
                          • 14951

                          #357
                          Re: 2013 Toronto Blue Jays

                          Originally posted by dochalladay32
                          What sun lol. The weather says 75, cloudy, and rainy.
                          Really? It's sunny and ~20 where I live lol. Granted, that isn't near the dome.



                          Mark effing Derosa is hitting cleanup for a team that was projected to win over 90 games. God save us all.
                          "Twelve at-bats is a pretty decent sample size." - Eric Byrnes

                          Comment

                          • Redacted01
                            Hall Of Fame
                            • Aug 2007
                            • 10316

                            #358
                            Re: 2013 Toronto Blue Jays

                            Yea, I never get why DeRosa gets slotted 4th when Lind has the day off. Why Rasmus or Izturis, or Davis even doesn't go there, I do not know.

                            Comment

                            • AC
                              Win the East
                              • Sep 2010
                              • 14951

                              #359
                              Well, I lied. Dome is open but not much wind to speak off. Overcast. I'm in the 500 level haha. Go Blue Jays!
                              "Twelve at-bats is a pretty decent sample size." - Eric Byrnes

                              Comment

                              • AC
                                Win the East
                                • Sep 2010
                                • 14951

                                #360
                                Encarnacion scratched with hammy soreness. ****.
                                "Twelve at-bats is a pretty decent sample size." - Eric Byrnes

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